Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 310836
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
336 AM CDT Thu Jul 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 330 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

The rain that impacted far southern Missouri Wednesday had shifted
to the south with only lingering sprinkles early this morning.
Partial clearing from the north and moist conditions where rain
had fallen was resulting in patchy fog.

The shortwave trough responsible for the recent rainfall will
track southeast across Arkansas today. Scattered showers and
sprinkles will linger today and mainly this morning across far
southern Missouri within an axis of weak mid level deformation
north of the shortwave.

Temperatures will remain cooler than normal today especially under
the clouds closer to the Arkansas border.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 330 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

The northwesterly flow aloft will continue the next few days
before the upper ridge out west expands eastward early next week.

A shortwave trough will drop southward across the Great Lakes
region Friday and Saturday. This feature may support the
development of isolated showers across the eastern Ozarks Friday
and Saturday but expect most locations to remain dry.

Temperatures will remain below normal through Saturday then a
warming trend will develop heading into early next week.
Temperatures will be near seasonal mid summer levels Monday and Tuesday.

The next upper level trough and associated front will approach the
region later next week bringing our next substantial chance of
rain.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday Night)
Issued at 1204 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: Moist low levels from rain earlier in the
day along with boundary layer cooling should allow areas of fog to
develop. Seeing some ifr fog developing in some spots where higher
clouds have cleared. Have ifr cat visibility in all tafs with the
best chances likely at KJLN and KBBG. Some light showers may
develop during the 12z-18z time frame over far southern Missouri
with another upper level disturbance.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...DSA





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