Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA

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562
FXUS66 KSTO 131718
AFDSTO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
918 AM PST SAT FEB 13 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY AND MILD WEATHER THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH WELL ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES. WETTER AND COOLER WEATHER PATTERN EXPECTED
MIDDLE TO LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Some patches of fog persist but will continue to dissipate over
the next hour or so over parts of the eastern portions of the
San Joaquin Valley. Patches of fog may form again over the eastern
portions of San Joaquin Valley again by Sunday morning.

A ridge of high pressure will remain over the region as a low
pressure area moves to the north of the area. Some light showers
may occur area over far northern interior areas over the mountains
of Shasta County and places to the north on Sunday. Temperatures
will warm the next couple of days peaking on Monday and Tuesday.
Near record and record temperatures are expected the during that
time period throughout all the interior. A few records may be
threatened on Sunday from around Sacramento southward.

Northerly winds are expected each day through Monday. The winds
look to be the strongest during the day on Sunday reaching 15 to
25 mph over the western portions of the valley and coastal range
with higher gusts. For today and Monday winds should peak out at
15 mph or less within the valley. Sunday night northeast to east
gusty winds will develop over favored canyons and peaks for the
western slopes.

.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Wednesday THROUGH Saturday)

GFS/ECMWF now in better agreement bringing a return of wet weather
to interior NorCal later Wednesday into Thursday with some
significant impacts possible in the northern Sierra above 5000 to
6000 feet due to heavy snow. Ridging forecast in the operational
model runs to return Friday into Saturday, though enough ensemble
members bring some weak waves through to maintain a mention of
slight chance or chance for precipitation in the forecast.

&&
&&

.AVIATION...

Upr rdg blds ofshr with NWly flow alf. VFR conds for Intr NorCal
nxt 24 hrs exc lcl MVFR/IFR/LIFR vsbys poss in BR/FG in Delta/Srn
Sac/Nrn San Joaquin vlys btwn 10z-18z.


&&

.STO Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$



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