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000
FXXX12 KWNP 220031
DAYDIS

:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2014 Jul 22 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#             Forecast Discussion
#
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at very low levels.  Slight decay was observed in
the intermediate area of Region 2119 (S21W24, Cao/beta) while
consolidation continued in the trailing spots. No Earth-directed coronal
mass ejections occurred during the period.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for
C-class flare activity over the next three days (22 - 24 Jul).

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal levels and the
greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal levels
and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at
background levels for the next three days (22 - 24 Jul).

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind continued at nominal levels over the period.  Solar wind
speeds averaged 275 km/s for most of the period.  Just before the end of
the UT day, speeds began to increase to just over 300 km/s, reached a
peak speed of 340 km/s at 21/2355 UTC, and ended the period near 335
km/s.  Total field was between 1 nT and 6 nT with the Bz component
variable between -5 nT and +3 nT.  Phi angle transitioned from a
predominantly positive (away) sector to a negative (toward) orientation
between 21/0900 and 22/1500 UTC.

.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are expected to remain near nominal conditions for
the next three days (22-24 Jul).

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for the next three
days (22-24 Jul).