Flood Statement
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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035
WGUS83 KFGF 211707
FLSFGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND
1107 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2017

...The flood warning has been extended for the following
locations in Minnesota and North Dakota...

  * Fargo...on the Red River...in Clay and Cass counties
  * East Grand Forks...on the Red River...in Polk and Grand Forks
  counties
  * Oslo...on the Red River...in Marshall...Walsh...Polk and Grand
  Forks counties
  * Hawley...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County
  * Dilworth...on the Buffalo River...in Clay County

...The flood warning continues for these river locations in
Minnesota...

  * Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River ...in Clay county
  * Hendrum...on the Wild Rice River (MN) ...in Norman county

.Several forecast points along the Red River, in addition to
its North Dakota and Minnesota tributaries, are expected to reach or
exceed flood stage in the coming days.

The recent string of above average temperatures has resulted in
most of the snow cover disappearing over much of the central
and southern Red River Valley. Due to the increased snow melt
and rainfall in the 0.20 to 0.50 inch range in the Red River
Valley on Monday, some locations are beginning to depict a response
in river levels.

Note that there continues to be some level of uncertainty in
forecast river levels due to the return of below freezing
temperatures later this week and into the weekend. This may cause
runoff to freeze in the drainage networks, rivers, and streams
rather than flow downstream. Forecasts will be updated as more data
become available and as conditions warrant.

This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated
  may not reflect the crest for this event.

  Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new
  weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use
  24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation
  it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...turn around, don`t drown...

 - Don`t travel through flooded areas!

 - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life
   and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location.

 - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river
   levels while the river is in, or near, flood.

For more information, go to the AHPS/River section
on our web page at:      www.weather.gov/grandforks

&&

MNC027-NDC017-221707-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170301T1200Z/
/FGON8.1.ER.170220T1845Z.170223T1200Z.170228T0600Z.NO/
1107 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2017

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Fargo...on the Red River.
* Until Wednesday March 1...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring. During the next 7 days, Minor
  flooding is forecast.
* Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 21.5 feet sometime
  Thursday mid-morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage early
  next Tuesday morning.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 22.0 feet, Fargo...North Broadway bridge
  is closed.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue
(month/day)         02/22  02/23  02/24  02/25  02/26  02/27  02/28

Red River
  Fargo             20.9   21.5   21.5   21.0   20.1   18.9   17.7


LAT...LON 4715 9673 4724 9683 4724 9694 4676 9689 4677 9671


$$

MNC119-NDC035-221707-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0002.170225T0051Z-000000T0000Z/
/EGFM5.1.ER.170225T0051Z.170226T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1107 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2017

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...East Grand Forks...on the Red River.
* From Friday evening until further notice...or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At 10:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Friday evening and continue to
  rise to near 31.0 feet by Sunday mid-morning.
* The river is forecast to crest at 31.0 on Sunday mid-morning during
  this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 33.0 feet, agricultural flooding begins
  along the Red River of the North between Grand Forks (River Mile
  296) and Oslo (River Mile 271).

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue
(month/day)         02/22  02/23  02/24  02/25  02/26  02/27  02/28

Red River
  East Grand Forks  20.6   23.0   26.3   29.4   31.0   31.0   30.5


LAT...LON 4768 9674 4807 9698 4810 9719 4767 9699


$$

MNC089-119-NDC035-099-221707-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0003.170225T0815Z-000000T0000Z/
/OSLM5.1.ER.170225T0815Z.170228T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1107 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2017

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Oslo...on the Red River.
* From late Friday night until further notice...or until the warning
  is cancelled.
* At 10:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by early Saturday morning and
  continue to rise to near 29.7 feet by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 30.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue
(month/day)         02/22  02/23  02/24  02/25  02/26  02/27  02/28

Red River
  Oslo              15.6   19.4   23.2   26.5   28.4   29.3   29.7


LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725


$$

MNC027-221707-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0008.170222T1800Z-170224T1200Z/
/SABM5.1.ER.170222T1800Z.170222T1800Z.170223T0600Z.NO/
1107 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2017

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Sabin...on the South Branch Buffalo River.
* From Wednesday afternoon to Friday morning...or until the warning
  is cancelled.
* At 10:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near Flood Stage
  Wednesday early afternoon.
* The river is forecast to crest at 13.0 on Wednesday early afternoon
  during this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 13.0 feet, flooding on road cut at old
  meander scar east of gage begins.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue
(month/day)         02/22  02/23  02/24  02/25  02/26  02/27  02/28

S. Buffalo River
  Sabin             12.9   12.8   12.2   11.2   10.2    9.6    9.1


LAT...LON 4663 9666 4663 9650 4686 9657 4689 9670


$$

MNC027-221707-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0004.170224T0600Z-170226T0600Z/
/HWYM5.1.ER.170224T0600Z.170224T0600Z.170225T0000Z.NO/
1107 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2017

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Hawley...on the Buffalo River.
* From late Thursday night to late Saturday night...or until the
  warning is cancelled.
* At 10:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 5.8 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near Flood Stage early
  Friday morning.
* The river is forecast to crest at 8.0 on early Friday morning
  during this 7-day period.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 8.0 feet, parts of Hawley city park begin
  to flood.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue
(month/day)         02/22  02/23  02/24  02/25  02/26  02/27  02/28

Buffalo River
  Hawley             7.0    7.7    8.0    7.8    7.5    7.1    6.8


LAT...LON 4701 9603 4692 9650 4684 9652 4680 9633 4690 9601


$$

MNC027-221707-
/O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0005.170223T0600Z-170301T0200Z/
/DILM5.1.ER.170223T0600Z.170224T1800Z.170227T2000Z.NO/
1107 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2017

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Dilworth...on the Buffalo River.
* From late Wednesday night to Tuesday February 28...or until the
  warning is cancelled.
* At 10:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by early Thursday morning and
  continue to rise to near 15.0 feet by Friday early afternoon. The
  river will fall below Flood Stage by Monday early afternoon.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 15.0 feet, gage not accessible above 15
  feet.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue
(month/day)         02/22  02/23  02/24  02/25  02/26  02/27  02/28

Buffalo River
  Dilworth          11.7   13.5   14.9   14.9   14.3   13.3   12.3


LAT...LON 4715 9682 4704 9681 4689 9669 4684 9652 4692 9650


$$

MNC107-221707-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0009.170223T1312Z-170228T1930Z/
/HNDM5.1.ER.170223T1312Z.170224T1800Z.170227T1330Z.NO/
1107 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2017

The Flood Warning continues for...
* ...Hendrum...on the Wild Rice River (MN).
* From Thursday morning to Tuesday February 28...or until the warning
  is cancelled.
* At 10:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Minor Flood Stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday mid-morning and
  continue to rise to near 21.5 feet by Friday early afternoon. The
  river will fall below Flood Stage by Monday mid-morning.
* Impact Statement(s) - At 20.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...Minor.

&&

Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet:

 Date                Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue
(month/day)         02/22  02/23  02/24  02/25  02/26  02/27  02/28

Wild Rice River (MN)
  Hendrum           17.8   19.9   21.3   21.5   21.1   20.1   18.8


LAT...LON 4734 9683 4724 9684 4715 9673 4722 9653 4732 9656


$$

Lee



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