Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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478
FNUS75 KPUB 240918
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Trout Creek RX...USFS
National Weather Service PUEBLO CO
318 AM MDT Tue Oct 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0400 MDT on October 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry northerly flow across the site today with near average
temperatures.  Ridgetop winds will be breezy from the N-NW
early but should go over to slope/valley circulations in the
afternoon. It`ll be dry and warmer Wednesday with increasing
westerly breezes ahead of an approaching system.  Could get a
bit breezy from the west in the afternoon with RHs dropping
into the single digits. Thursday will be rather wintry with
brisk northerly winds, falling temperatures and a chance for
snow.  Could be a couple inches but really doesn`t look like
a big accumulation at this point.  On Friday, the snow is
probably over but the cold will linger on.  After a hard
freeze Saturday morning, dry weather with gradual warming
is then expected through the weekend.  Models show another
possible disturbance Monday into Tuesday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....50-55F.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........N-NW 10-15 mph ridgetops this morning.
                    Otherwise, slope/valley 5-10 mph.
Mixing height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. good after 1200.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....33-38F.
Max humidity........35-40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Slope/valley 3-8 mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft agl until 2100, then 1500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....65-70F.
Min humidity........8-13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds becoming westerly 5-15 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft agl until 1200, then 6500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. good after 1200.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows 35 to 40. Highs 40 to 45
early then falling into the 30s. Brisk north winds 15-30 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 20 to 25. Highs 40 to 45. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 15 to 20. Highs 50 to 55. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 30 to 35. Highs 57 to 62.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 30 to 35. Highs 52 to 57.

$$
Forecaster...WALROD
Requested by...Tom Barter
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717651.3/PUB



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