Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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000 FXUS61 KAKQ 241949 AFDAKQ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 349 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2015 .SYNOPSIS...
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HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH FRIDAY.
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&& .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/... SFC HIGH NOW LOCATED OFF THE MID ATLNTC SEABOARD. LGT S FLOW RESULTS IN A SLOW RISE IN DP TMPS. MSTLY CLR WITH LOWS U50S-L60S. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... BERMUDA HIGH PROVIDES SUMMER LIKE CNDTNS THRU THE PRD. A WEAK TROF DVLPS TUE...BUT AIRMASS REMAINS CAPPED FOR ANY CONVECTION TO HOLD TOGETHER E OF THE MTS. A MORE DEFINED LEE TROF PROGGED WED AFTRN. THIS FEATURE...COMBINED WITH ADVANCING MSTR FROM THE OHIO/TN VLLY SHUD ALLOW FOR SCT AFTRN/EVE CONVECTION ACROSS THE VA PIEDMONT. KEPT 20-30 POP WED ALONG/W OF I95 CORRIDOR. HIGHS EACH DAY M-U80S W OF THE CHES BAY...M70S-L80S ALONG THE COAST...COOLEST AT THE BEACHES. LOWS IN THE 60S. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... LONG TERM PERIOD WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS EACH DAY AND TYPICAL DIURNAL CHANCES FOR SHRAS/TSTMS ACROSS NW AREAS. HI TEMPS WILL AVG FM THE MID 80S TO NR 90 WITH LO TEMPS IN THE MID TO UPR 60S EACH DAY...ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. AN UPR-LEVEL RIDGE WILL SLOWLY BREAK DOWN THRU THE PERIOD AS WAVES OF LO PRES PASS MAINLY NW OF THE LOCAL AREA. POPS WILL BE 20-30% EACH AFTN/EVENG FOR ALL AREAS EXCEPT SE VA/NE NC...WITH NO REASON TO GO HIGHER AT THIS POINT DUE TO WEAK FORCING AND UPR-LEVEL RIDGING. && .AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... VFR THRU THE 18Z TAF PERIOD. SFC HI PRES JUST OFFSHORE THIS AFTN WILL REMAIN OFF THE CST THRU MID TO LATE WEEK LEADING TO AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF SLY FLOW. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE 5-10 KT...WITH A BRIEF UPTICK IN WIND SPEEDS AROUND PEAK HEATING TIME EACH AFTN/ERLY EVENG. WITH UPR-LEVEL RIDGING IN PLACE...JUST EXPECTING SOME FEW-SCT HI CLOUDS. && .MARINE... SFC HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE SE AND MID ATLANTIC STATES WILL BE THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL PRIMARILY BE FROM THE SE-S AT SPEEDS AOB 15KT. GUSTS MAY REACH AROUND 20KT DURING THE AFTN/EARLY EVENING AND AGAIN AROUND DAYBREAK EACH DAY DUE TO DIURNAL INFLUENCES. OTHERWISE...THE WATERS WILL BE RELATIVELY QUIET. WAVES WILL AVERAGE 1-2FT. SEAS WILL AVERAGE 2-3FT (PERIODICALLY UP TO 4FT IN NRN COASTAL WATERS MON NIGHT THROUGH THU). && .AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...NONE. NC...NONE. VA...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...MPR NEAR TERM...AJZ/MPR SHORT TERM...MPR LONG TERM...LSA AVIATION...MAS MARINE...LSA

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