Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 261942
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
342 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

...Shower and thunderstorm chances tonight into Thursday...

An area of low pressure will slowly move across the region through
Thursday...accompanied by waves of showers and a few thunderstorms.
A cold front will sweep through the area on Thursday with today`s
occasionally gusty southerly winds shifting west-southwesterly by
Thursday afternoon along with much cooler weather expected by
Thursday evening through the upcoming weekend. Additional shower
chances are possible across a portion of the area Friday afternoon-
evening and across all of northern Michigan late in the weekend.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-270815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
342 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER...EXCEPT 5 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.12 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71...EXCEPT 53-58 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (960).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.28 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (770).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61...EXCEPT 41-46 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT...EXCEPT 58-63 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (860).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-270815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
342 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE
                    COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.18 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0800 UNTIL 1100. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000 UNTIL 1600.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71...EXCEPT AROUND 60 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 14 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 25 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (2330).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 24 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 36 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.27 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (780).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT...EXCEPT 54-59 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (840).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-270815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
342 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 7 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.17 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0700, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64...EXCEPT 44-49 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 16 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (670).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.24 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 13 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (740).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (850).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ031>033-270815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
342 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 9 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 25 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.20 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65...EXCEPT 50-55 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (750).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.21 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 14 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (640).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT...EXCEPT 56-61 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 16 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (880).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-270815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
342 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.22 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (2050).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 24 TO 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.24 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......21 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (850).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...RAIN WITH SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MG


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