Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
000
FNUS53 KAPX 261832
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
232 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
...Trending Milder into the Weekend...
.DISCUSSION... Very dry airmass ongoing set to moderate with time
through the evening into the overnight from SW to NE as a warm front
moves into the region, bringing a deeper plume of moisture. This will
generally lift dewpoints out of the teens and 20s to the upper 50s and
lower 60s throughout the course of the weekend (with air temperatures
in the 60s and 70s by Saturday). Conditions will continue to be slightly
breezy, with winds gusting up to 25mph at times, but the overall presence
of periods of showers and even some thunder should do enough to mitigate
some of the recurring pre- greenup fire danger through the weekend.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-270830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
232 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400, then rain showers.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
24 HR Trend......18 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter...except 27 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 36 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (128).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.13- 0.31 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 61-66 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer...except 7 degrees warmer
near the coast.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
24 HR Trend......39 percent wetter...except 45 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts
up to 32 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (985).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 21 to 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.19 in.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
likely until 2400. Chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....51-56...except 48-53 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees cooler near
the coast.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts
up to 36 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (103).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 24 mph becoming west around 12
mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.43 in.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....63-68...except 49-54 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler...except 16 degrees cooler
near the coast.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (220).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the east around
12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.22 in.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-270830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
232 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers after
2400.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
24 HR Trend......18 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (79).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.23 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 61-66 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......15 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
24 HR Trend......32 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts
up to 32 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (966).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 21 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.17 in.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
gusts up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (115).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.24 in .
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 47-52 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler...except 19 degrees cooler
near the coast.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (158).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the
northeast around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.14 in.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-270830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
232 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400, then rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
24 HR Trend......21 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 18 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 36 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (170).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.13- 0.23 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 51-56 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer...except 4 degrees warmer
near the coast.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
24 HR Trend......35 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts
up to 36 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (909).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 24 to 33 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.13 in.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
likely until 2400. Chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....48-53.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer...except 6 degrees cooler near
the coast.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
gusts up to 32 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (94).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 24 mph becoming west around 12
mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.42 in.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....65-70...except around 50 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent.
24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (170).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the east around
12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.17- 0.25 in.
$$
MIZ031>033-270830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
232 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400, then rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
24 HR Trend......22 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 18 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 32 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (162).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.17- 0.34 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer...except 5 degrees warmer
near the coast.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
24 HR Trend......37 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts
up to 32 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (870).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 21 to 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.17 in.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
likely until 2400. Chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57...except 49-54 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees cooler near
the coast.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
gusts up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (84).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.43 in.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then rain
showers likely.
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 58-63 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (222).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the
southeast around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.15- 0.22 in.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-270830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
232 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400, then rain showers.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
24 HR Trend......22 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (110).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.26 in.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
24 HR Trend......37 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts
up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1025).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 18 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.17 in.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
gusts up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (103).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.35 in .
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........65-70 percent.
24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (227).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the east
around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.19 in.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
$$
HAD
- National Weather Service
- Gaylord, MI Weather Forecast Office
- 8800 Passenheim Road
- Gaylord, MI 49735-9454
- 989-731-3384
- Page Author: APX Webmaster
- Web Master's E-mail: w-apx.webmaster@noaa.gov
- Page last modified: Sep 19th, 2023 19:10 UTC