Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 301022
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
622 AM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

...SHOWERS TODAY WITH AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER TO
FOLLOW...

.DISCUSSION...SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE AND A COLD FRONT DROPPING
SOUTH ACROSS MICHIGAN TODAY WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD THREAT FOR
SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS...THAT WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS
EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE AFTER
MIDNIGHT.  MORNING CLOUDS WEDNESDAY EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
CLEAR...WITH AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER FORECAST RIGHT
THROUGH THE INDEPENDENCE DAY HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-302030-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
622 AM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......35 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (500).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.27 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    2400. PATCHY DRIZZLE AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL
                    0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (600).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-302030-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
622 AM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (580).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (800).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-302030-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
622 AM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (300).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.20-0.37 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    PATCHY DRIZZLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.12 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL
                    0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (310).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ031>033-302030-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
622 AM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......35 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (310).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.23-0.40 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    PATCHY DRIZZLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.12 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 24 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (380).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-302030-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
622 AM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (500).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.23 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY DRIZZLE
                    AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (60).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND
                    9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.11 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (700).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

JPB



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