Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 240941
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
541 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

...PERIODS OF RAIN/WINTRY MIX TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR MUCH OF
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL TRACK INTO
THE MIDWEST THROUGH TONIGHT. WELL AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...BAND OF
Periodic RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW INTO NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES NEAR FREEZING THIS MORNING
AND AGAIN TONIGHT WILL RESULT IN WINTRY MIX ACROSS THE TIP OF THE
MITT AND HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS.

CLOUDY AND WET WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-242015-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
541 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF LIGHT
                    FREEZING RAIN UNTIL 0700. RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AFTER 0700 UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45...EXCEPT 33-38 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......49 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (230).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.20-0.34 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN, CHANCE OF SNOW
                    AND LIGHT SLEET. FREEZING RAIN LIKELY AFTER
                    2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (80).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.38 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY,
                    CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT
                    FREEZING DRIZZLE UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF DRIZZLE.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (450).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.17 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-242015-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
541 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    FREEZING RAIN UNTIL 1200. RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53...EXCEPT 34-39 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......45 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (220).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.31 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL
                    2400. RAIN AND CHANCE OF LIGHT SLEET. SNOW
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AFTER
                    2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (90).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.22-0.37 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    UNTIL 1200. RAIN WITH POSSIBLE FREEZING RAIN,
                    DRIZZLE AND FREEZING DRIZZLE LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT...EXCEPT 89-94 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (400).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.33 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-242015-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
541 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 1300, THEN
                    RAIN LIKELY UNTIL 1600, THEN RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47...EXCEPT 32-37 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......42 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 53 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (220).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND
                    6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.31 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (110).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.40 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN WITH
                    FREEZING RAIN LIKELY UNTIL 1200, THEN RAIN
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF DRIZZLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (490).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-242015-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
541 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 0900, THEN
                    RAIN LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......47 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (190).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.15 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY UNTIL
                    1900, THEN RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (160).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.31-0.39 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 1400, THEN
                    RAIN LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (470).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21-0.34 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-242015-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
541 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN UNTIL 1200, THEN RAIN
                    LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......47 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.20 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN. FREEZING RAIN
                    AFTER 0500.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (130).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.27-0.38 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND
                    LIGHT SLEET LIKELY UNTIL 1200. RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (410).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.35 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...RAIN WITH POSSIBLE FREEZING RAIN WITH DRIZZLE AND
FREEZING DRIZZLE LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$




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