Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 281924
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
324 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

...GUSTY WINDS AND SNOW DEVELOP SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY GIVE WAY TO A FAST
MOVING STORM SYSTEM AND ATTENDANT COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY. THIS
SYSTEM WILL BRING VERY GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS THROUGH THE
DAY...REMAINING GUSTY WHILE VEERING WEST SUNDAY NIGHT. A BAND OF
SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH RAIN...WILL RAPIDLY OVERSPREAD THE AREA
SUNDAY...WITH PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW CONTINUING SUNDAY NIGHT.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW 40 PERCENT FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST LOWER BY LATE MORNING BEFORE INCREASING AS PRECIPITATION
BEGINS. COOL CONDITIONS AND ELEVATED RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-290815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
324 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....13-18...EXCEPT AROUND 20 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 83-88 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW...
                    ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (850).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 33 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.17 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW AND RAIN UNTIL
                    2400...THEN SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (360).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 27 TO 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.21 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT...EXCEPT 69-74 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1680).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-290815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
324 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....12-17.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SNOW AND RAIN
                    AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT...EXCEPT 56-61 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1020).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 33
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.12 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW UNTIL
                    2400...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......21 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (420).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.15 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45...EXCEPT 32-37 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2410).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 33 TO 36 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-290815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
324 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-22.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 15 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 18 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW...
                    ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 22 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (810).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 21 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 36 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.20 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW
                    UNTIL 2400...THEN SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL
                    0500...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......22 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 11 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (250).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.21 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1330).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-290815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
324 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-22.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 16 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW...
                    ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT...EXCEPT 66-71 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (870).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 21 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 36 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.21 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW
                    UNTIL 2400...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......21 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 13 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (270).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.17 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1370).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-290815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
324 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....9-14.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (70).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW...
                    ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1170).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 33
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.13 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SNOW UNTIL 2400.
                    RAIN AFTER 2000 UNTIL 2400...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......23 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (430).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.21 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2250).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

MSB



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