Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
228
FNUS73 KOAX 081245
FWSOAX
Spot Forecast for Two Creeks Melichar Unit...Lincoln Parks and Rec
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
745 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on May 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy today with a chance of an
isolated shower, mainly after 4 PM. High temperatures will be
around 74 with minimum relative humidity of around 30 percent.
Light and variable winds as of 8 AM will become westerly at around
8 mph by 11 AM before switching to west-northwest at 8-10 mph
with gusts of 15 mph by 2-3 PM.
Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: sustained: 10 mph,
gust: 15 mph
Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 27 percent
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds up to 7 mph.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 8 to 11 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (31500 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (106500 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28 34 38 43 45 34
Weather cov..... SCH
Weather type.... RW
Tstm cov........ SCH
Temp............70 70 72 73 73 74
RH..............44 39 37 34 31 32
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..6 7 7 8 8 9
20 FT wind gust.10 12 12 13 13 14
Eye lvl wnd dir.W W W W W W
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 5 5 6 6 7
Eye lvl wnd gst.8 9 9 10 10 11
Surface wnd dir.W W W W W W
Surface wnd spd.8 9 9 10 10 11
Surface wnd gst.13 15 15 16 16 18
Mix hgt (kft)...4.7 5.3 6.3 7.6 8.9 8.3
Transp wind dir.SW SW W W W W
Transp wind spd.12 9 9 10 14 15
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0
Haines index....6 6 6 6 6 6
SDspl kt-ft/100032 42 69 95 107 85
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
mostly clear (10-20 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 8 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
early in the evening.
Surface winds (mph).Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
early in the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
early in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 16 mph shifting to the north 12
to 13 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (50000 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (3200 knot-ft) late in the
night.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........47 9 4 4 7 15
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
Temp............72 68 58 54 51 48
RH..............34 42 57 71 77 86
20 ft wind......NW 10 NW 8 NW 7 NW 8 NW 7 NW 6
20 ft wind gust.17 10 8 10 8 7
Eye level wind..NW 8 NW 6 NW 5 NW 6 NW 5 NW 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.13 8 6 8 6 5
Surface wind....NW 13 NW 10 NW 9 NW 10 NW 9 NW 8
Surface wnd gst.21 13 10 13 10 9
Mix hgt (ft)....7200 500 500 400 400 400
Transport wind..W 16 W 12 NW 13 NW 15 N 13 N 12
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0
Haines index....6 5 5 5 5 5
SDspl kt-ft/100050 7 5 5 5 4
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers in the morning. Chance of rain
showers in the afternoon. Slight chance of
thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph in
the afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).North winds 9 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph in
the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3600 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (77400 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........21 25 35 28 38 39
Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ S CHC
Temp............46 50 58 62 66 66
RH..............96 93 77 67 58 56
20 ft wind......NW 7 NW 8 NW 10 NW 11 N 13 N 13
20 ft wind gust. 10 14 16 18 19
Eye level wind..NW 5 NW 6 NW 8 NW 8 N 10 N 10
Eye lvl wnd gst. 8 10 12 14 14
Surface wind....NW 9 NW 10 NW 13 NW 14 N 16 N 16
Surface wnd gst. 13 17 20 23 24
Mix hgt (ft)....600 1100 2500 3900 3600 4400
Transport wind..NW 12 N 17 N 18 N 21 N 21 N 17
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0
Haines index....5 4 4 4 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/10004 16 40 68 77 66
$$
Forecaster...Mead
Requested by...Aaron Druery
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413470.0/OAX
.DELDT 05/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Adruery@lincoln.ne.gov