Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Fairbanks, AK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
000
FXAK69 PAFG 242248
AFDAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
248 PM AKDT THU JUL 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH ABOUT 48 HOURS. THE GFS HAD
BEEN THE LONE HOLDOUT BUT WITH THE LAST MODEL RUN IT HAS SEEN THE
ERROR IN ITS WAYS. WHAT THIS MEANS FOR NORTHERN ALASKA IS
ESSENTIALLY A DEEP TROUGH ALOFT OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
INTERIOR WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE WEST COAST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL BE IN STORE FOR NORTHERN ALASKA.

STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE STATE TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD SHOWERS THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTION OF THE
STATE THROUGH FRIDAY...PARTICULARLY AS THE UPPER LOW GETS TRAPPED
AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY IN THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE STATE.
EXPECT SHOWERS THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY IF NOT INTO SAT.

WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW OVER THE EASTERN ARCTIC ARE
GUSTING 25 TO 35 THIS EVENING BUT SHOULD DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. THE
BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE WEST COAST ARE KEEPING WINDS GUSTY THROUGH
THE KOTZEBUE SOUND AREA.

SNOWFALL OF A COUPLE OF INCHES IN THE EASTERN BROOKS RANGE IS
POSSIBLE TONIGHT WITH THE COLD ADVECTION MOVING IN.

ANOTHER SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE OVER THE RIDGE AND HIT THE WEST COAST
BEAR POINT HOPE AND TRAVEL SOUTHEASTWARD SUN.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NONE.


&&

.HYDROLOGY...
MODERATELY HEAVY RAIN OVER THE NORTH SLOPES OF THE ALASKA RANGE
WILL CAUSE RIVERS AND STREAMS TO RISE BUT DO NOT EXPECT FLOODING AT
THIS TIME.


&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ215-PKZ245.
&&

$$

CF JUL 14


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.