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000
FXUS64 KBMX 100907
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
407 AM CDT MON MAR 10 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A NEAR REPEAT OF SUNDAY IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH MILD TEMPERATURES
AND ABUNDANT SUNSHINE. THESE CONDITIONS WILL NOT LAST FOREVER AS A
CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER MEXICO BEGINS TO EJECT EASTWARD DUE TO AN
APPROACHING PACIFIC COAST TROUGH. THIS WILL LEAD TO SOUTHWEST FLOW
AND INCREASING CLOUDS TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES
ACROSS TEXAS. MOISTURE ADVECTION APPEARS STRONG ENOUGH FOR RAIN
SHOWERS SPREADING ACROSS THE CWA FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. A NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH WILL ALSO
COME INTO PLAY AS IT CAUSES A STRONG COLD FRONT TO SURGE SOUTH.
THIS SHOULD CREATE ADDITIONAL LIFT TO COMBINE WITH THE LIFT FROM
THE SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE...AND SHOWERS LIKELY ACROSS MOST OF THE
CWA AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL BLAST THROUGH ON
WEDNESDAY WITH MOST OF THE SHOWERS EXPECTED TO MOVE OUT DURING THE
MORNING HOURS. ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WINDS MAY REACH WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA...20+ KTS SUSTAINED OR GUSTS 30+ KTS.

MUCH COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA FOR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP
NEAR OR JUST BELOW FREEZING FOR MOST OF THE CWA THURSDAY MORNING.
HIGHS WILL ONLY REACH THE 50S ON THURSDAY. ANOTHER COOL NIGHT IS
EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A LIGHT FREEZE POSSIBLE.

A SHIFT TO WEST-SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING A WARMING TREND
FOR FRIDAY. MOISTURE WILL ALSO BE ON THE INCREASE WITH UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS AND RAIN CHANCES LOOMING FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

THERE ARE SOME POCKETS OF MOISTURE AROUND CENTRAL ALABAMA TONIGHT
THAT COULD YIELD A FEW CLOUDS AROUND 5K. FOR FOG TO DEVELOP WE
WOULD HAVE TO HIT THE LOWER 40S AND CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTING TO
GET THAT COOL WITH MID 40S FORECAST. THERE IS...HOWEVER...THE
POSSIBILITY OF SOME 5 MILE VIS AT A COUPLE OF LOCATIONS. THE
HIGHEST CHANCE OF THAT WOULD BE AROUND TOI AND MAYBE TCL. WILL
INCLUDE A TEMPO FOR THOSE LOCATIONS AROUND SUNRISE. NEAR CALM
WINDS OVERNIGHT WITH WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW TOMORROW AROUND 5
KTS.

88

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     70  46  75  56  62 /   0   0  20  70  60
ANNISTON    72  47  76  57  66 /   0   0  20  70  60
BIRMINGHAM  71  50  76  58  63 /   0  10  20  70  40
TUSCALOOSA  73  49  76  58  63 /   0  10  30  60  30
CALERA      71  50  75  58  66 /   0  10  30  70  30
AUBURN      73  52  77  58  70 /   0   0  20  70  40
MONTGOMERY  76  52  78  58  73 /   0  10  30  70  30
TROY        76  52  77  58  74 /   0  10  30  70  30

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

87/88