Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 231714
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1000 AM MST THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL
BRING VERY WARM DAYS THROUGH FRIDAY. EXPECT MAX TEMPS TO BE FROM 5
TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. EXPECT BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS
WEEKEND AS A COLD FRONT MOVES TOWARDS THE STATE. HIGH TEMPERATURES
COOL BACK DOWN TO SEASONAL NORMALS FROM SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY AND
TOMORROW. EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH JUST A FEW PATCHES OF
CIRRUS CLOUDS AND LIGHT WINDS THROUGH FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

MORNING FORECAST GRIDS LOOK GOOD...NO UPDATES.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

THIS WEEKEND...

SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER ARIZONA SHOULD STRENGTHEN ON SATURDAY AS A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE WEST COAST. PROGS DO MOVE THIS
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN ON SUNDAY. IMPACTS FOR
NORTHERN ARIZONA ARE BREEZY  SOUTHWEST WINDS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOONS...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH PROBABLE SUNDAY. A DRY COLD
FRONT ALIGNED WEST TO EAST SHOULD DIP SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AZ UT
STATE LINE SUNDAY NIGHT. NO MOISTURE IS SEEN IN BELOW H5 SUNDAY
NIGHT THOUGH AND THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP WAS REMOVED.

DRY WEATHER RETURNS FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY UNDER LIGHT WEST
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. SEASONAL MAX AND MIN TEMPS ARE FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...SMOKE FROM PRESCRIBED BURNS
REDUCING VIS IN THE VICINITY OF KFLG/KGCN THIS MORNING...IMPROVING
THIS AFTERNOON WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT AREA TERMINALS.
IFR/MVFR VIS FROM SMOKE AT KGCN AND KFLG POSSIBLE AGAIN AFTER 06Z
FRIDAY. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........BOHLIN/DL
AVIATION.......MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF











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