Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 252230
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
330 PM MST MON MAY 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST OF ARIZONA TONIGHT
AND WILL CONTINUE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS
EVENING. THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO WARMER AND
DRIER CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY AND THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE THIS EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. THE WEATHER
DISTURBANCE RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE INTO NEW MEXICO
TONIGHT.

ANOTHER WEATHER DISTURABANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH UTAH ON TUESDAY
BRINGING ENOUGH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO FAR NORTHERN ARIZONA FOR
A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL MAINLY FROM THE
KIABAB PLATEAU TO WINDOW ROCK AND NORTHWARD.

GENERAL TROUGHING WILL REMAIN OVER THE STATE...WITH RISING HEIGHTS
AND WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK. IT LOOKS LIKE ENOUGH
MOISTURE WILL LINGER FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS NEAR THE
ARIZONA/UTAH BORDER AND THE FOUR CORNERS REGION THROUGH THURSDAY. AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. MODELS IN FAIRLY
GOOD AGREEMENT IN SHOWING HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER ARIZONA
STARTING FRIDAY AND FOR THE COMING WEEKEND. AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS
LIKE DRY CONDITIONS AND THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES SO FAR THIS
YEAR ARE HEADED OUR WAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...SCATTERED SHRA AND ISOLATED TSRA
TO CONTINUE SOUTH OF A SUPAI TO WINDOW ROCK LINE THROUGH 06Z BEFORE
DIMINISHING. MVFR AND BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
HEAVIER SHOWERS. ELSEWHERE AND OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH
17Z TUES. ISOLD TSTORMS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE UTAH
BORDER. SFC WINDS TUES AFTERNOON SW 10-20KT. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS. &&

.FIRE WEATHER...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AZ BEFORE
DIMINISHING. ON TUESDAY...WARMER AND MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS DEVELOP
AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES AWAY FROM ARIZONA. A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF A HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORM WILL LINGER ALONG THE AZ/UT BORDER.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY... DRY WEATHER WITH A WARMING TREND ARE
IN STORE STARTING WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN ON THE LIGHT
SIDE...GENERALLY 15 MPH OR LESS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MAS
AVIATION...DL
FIRE WEATHER...DL


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