Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 261041

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
341 AM MST THU MAY 26 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A weak low pressure system will produce scattered showers
and thunderstorms today into Friday. Moisture will linger through early
next week with a very slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
each day. Otherwise, warmer temperatures are in store starting
Friday into next week.


.DISCUSSION...A weak low pressure system will move across
Arizona today and then exit to the east of Friday. Nothing
impressive but additional moisture will move across the area with
scattered high-based showers and thunderstorms developing.
Showers and storms will be most numerous today into this evening
primarily over the mountains. The threat for showers and storms
will continue on Friday but more isolated due to the low moving
eastward. Higher bases will mean gusty winds near any

Starting Saturday and heading into next week...An even weaker low
will move across the southwest United States. Lingering moisture
will result in a slight chance of high based showers and
thunderstorms each day. With such a weak low winds will remain on
the light side. In addition, a warmer air mass will begin to move
over Arizona with temperatures warming to near normal.


.AVIATION...For the 12Z Package...Expect generally VFR conditions
for the next 24 hours with chances for high based showers and
thunderstorms. Erratic and gusty winds are possible this afternoon
and evening near showers. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF


.FIRE WEATHER...An area of low pressure will bring a chance of
showers and thunderstorms to northern Arizona through Friday
afternoon. Thunderstorms will be most numerous this afternoon into
the evening.

.Saturday through Monday...Drier conditions and relatively light
winds are expected this weekend into early next week. There will
be a slight chance for dry, high based thunderstorms. Critical
fire weather conditions are not expected at this time.






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