Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KJKL 191922
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
322 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 307 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

A LARGE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE EAST
COAST INTO THE WEEKEND...PROVIDING A DRY START TO THE WEEKEND. STILL
A REMOTE CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER ACROSS PIKE COUNTY LATER THIS
EVENING...BUT CHANCES SEEM TO BE DIMINISHING WITH EVERY HOUR THAT
PASSES. THE CU JUST DOES NOT LOOK ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE.
REGARDLESS...UNTIL INSTABILITY WANES THIS EVENING CANNOT RULE OUT A
BRIEF POP UP SHOWER. SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT AGAIN TONIGHT. WITH
DEWPOINTS CLIMBING HIGHER TODAY...AND CLEARING SKIES...ANOTHER NIGHT
OF FOG CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA. SHOULD BE A FAIRLY TYPICAL
FOG FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. HIGHS WILL CLIMB TO THE HIGHEST READINGS
OF THE WEEK ON SATURDAY AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE LOW 80S DURING
THE AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE SATURDAY NIGHT AS A
COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. PRECIPITATION
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BOUNDARY COULD MAKE IT INTO AREAS NORTH OF 1-64
PRIOR TO 12Z SUNDAY...BUT IT APPEARS THE MAIN PRECIPITATION WITH THE
FRONT SHOULD COME COME LATER ON SUNDAY. WITH CLOUDS AND SURFACE
MOISTURE INCREASING SATURDAY NIGHT...A MILDER NIGHT IS ON TAP WITH
LOWS ONLY INTO THE 60S.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 322 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

ALL OF THE WEATHER IS AT THE FRONT END OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD AS A
COLD FRONT IS SET TO SWEEP QUICKLY ACROSS THE AREA ON SUNDAY.
MOISTURE RETURN IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT IS NOT GREAT WITH PWATS ONLY
CREEPING UP TO ABOUT 1.5 INCHES IN A THIN RIBBON. COUPLED WITH ONLY
WEAK INSTABILITY...ANTICIPATE A NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS TO ACCOMPANY THE FRONT DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. THE
BULK OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE TO OUR SOUTHEAST BY SUNDAY EVENING.
FOLLOWING THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE...A LARGE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SLIDE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. COUPLED WITH A BUILDING RIDGE ALOFT...
THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER WITH
PLEASANT TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK. THERE IS ONE POSSIBLE FLY IN THE
OINTMENT THOUGH AS FORECAST MODELS HINT THAT A WEAK UPPER LOW MAY
GET TRAPPED TO THE SOUTH OF THE UPPER RIDGE. ALL SIGNS CURRENTLY ARE
THAT ANY ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WITH THIS LOW WOULD STAY TO OUR SOUTH
AND EAST SO WILL NOT GIVE THIS ANY PLAY IN OUR LOCAL FORECAST AT
THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 137 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HOWEVER...CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL YIELD ANOTHER NIGHT OF
VALLEY FOG. AT THIS TIME...MINIMAL IMPACT IS EXPECTED AT THE TAF
SITES FROM THIS FOG...BUT IF THE FOG ENDS UP BEING A BIT MORE
ROBUST...SOME IMPACTS COULD BE FELT LATE TONIGHT. ANY FOG WILL BURN
OFF BY 9 OR 10 AM SATURDAY MORNING WITH VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING.


&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KAS
LONG TERM...ABE
AVIATION...KAS




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.