Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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FXUS64 KLIX 211426
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
826 AM CST Sat Jan 21 2017

.UPDATE...

Updated the forecast to reflect ongoing radar trends with a band
of moderate rainfall extending from New Orleans east-northeast
along the Mississippi coast this morning. This band of
precipitation should continue to shift to the south and east into
the offshore waters east of the Mississippi River through the
morning hours. Expect to see a brief window of drier conditions
take hold from late morning into the early afternoon. However,
another round of scattered thunderstorms should develop during the
mid to late afternoon hours. A few of these storms could turn
severe due to favorable lapse rates and low wet bulb zero heights.
Hail and strong wind gusts will be the primary concern with these
storms this afternoon and evening. A third round of convection
could then move through later tonight as the main frontal boundary
sweeps through. All of the other forecast parameters are on track
at this time. 32

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  76  55  67  44 /  50  40  40  10
BTR  79  57  67  45 /  50  40  40  10
ASD  77  60  72  45 /  80  40  40  10
MSY  77  60  72  52 /  80  40  40  10
GPT  74  61  70  45 /  90  40  40  10
PQL  75  61  70  45 /  70  40  40  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Gale Watch from Sunday morning through late Sunday night for
     LAZ068>070.

GM...Gale Watch from Sunday morning through late Sunday night for
     GMZ536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

     Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM CST Sunday
     for GMZ536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

MS...None.
GM...Gale Watch from Sunday morning through late Sunday night for
     GMZ538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

     Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM CST Sunday
     for GMZ538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

&&

$$



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