Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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000
FNUS22 KWNS 210758
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0157 AM CST Tue Feb 21 2017

Valid 221200Z - 231200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CO...NORTHEAST
NM...THE WESTERN TX AND OK PANHANDLES...

...Synopsis...
In the mid levels, a trough will amplify over the Western States,
and will be accompanied by a belt of strong flow spreading across
parts of the Southwest to the central and southern Plains. As the
leading edge of this stronger flow and associated large-scale ascent
emerge over parts of the central and southern Rockies, a lee surface
trough will deepen across parts of the adjacent High Plains.

...Front range of the CO/NM Rockies eastward across portions of the
central/southern High Plains...
Enhanced downslope winds extending off portions of the central and
southern Rockies will support warming/drying over the adjacent High
Plains. Westerly to west-southwesterly winds of 15-25 mph with
higher gusts are forecast to combine with RH of 10-20 percent in
support of elevated to critical fire-weather conditions.

The latest model guidance suggests that overlap of critically strong
winds (speeds of 20-25 mph) and low RH (10-15 percent) will be most
likely across portions of eastern CO, northeast NM, and the western
TX and OK Panhandles.

Surrounding the Critical area, elevated to borderline-critical
fire-weather conditions will be possible, warranting Elevated
designation. However, critically strong winds are not forecast to
combine with critically low RH on any more than a brief/spotty
basis.

..Cohen.. 02/21/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$



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