Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS22 KWNS 170855
FWDDY2

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0354 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
A SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST ON
FRIDAY...WHILE A NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH MOVES FROM THE PACIFIC NW
INTO THE NRN ROCKIES. AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS THE NRN HIGH PLAINS...WHILE SFC FEATURES AND THE RESULTING
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL GENERALLY REMAIN WEAK ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. THE STRONGEST LOW-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN LARGELY DISPLACED FROM AREAS OF CRITICALLY LOW
RH...LIMITING THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT OVERALL...THOUGH ISOLATED DRY
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE SRN TROUGH ACROSS PARTS
OF NM/AZ.

...ERN AZ...NM...
GRADUALLY INCREASING MOISTURE AND ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
ERN AZ AND MUCH OF NM. THE GREATEST RISK FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED FROM NERN AZ INTO NWRN NM...WHERE PW VALUES WILL REMAIN
BELOW 0.50 INCHES DURING THE DAY AND THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE
WELL-MIXED AND DRY. FORECAST COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS...BUT IS SUFFICIENT FOR AN ISOLATED DRY TSTM
DELINEATION IN THIS AREA.

..DEAN.. 04/17/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...



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