Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS West Gulf RFC

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AGUS74 KFWR 171654
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1054 AM CST SAT FEB 17 2018

                VALID FEBRUARY 17 THROUGH FEBRUARY 22

...SOME RAINFALL ON TAP INTO THE WEEKEND WITH MORE SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL EXPECTED NEXT WEEK...

                   ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms associated with fast moving disturbance
are continuing to impact portions of Northeast Texas this
morning. Rainfall amounts have been averaging less than 0.25
inch per hour and this is expected to continue through the
remainder of the day. Atmospheric conditions are beginning
to improve just west of the I-35 corridor, as the upper
disturbance continues to quickly push eastward. No significant
river rises are expected with this activity the next 24 hours.

A big change is expected next week, as a cold front drops
south and interacts with the moisture coming in from the Gulf
early next week. This will result in much more hydrologically
significant rainfall, which could cause some minor rises over
the Sabine and Neches river systems.
.
The active pattern is expected to continue through the end of
next week.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Sunday morning, Mean Areal Precipitation (MAP)
amounts of 0.25 inch or less are forecast for portions of North
Texas.

For Sunday into Monday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Monday into Tuesday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.50 inch
are forecast for areas along and west of I-35.

For Tuesday into Thursday morning, MAP amounts of up to 3.00 inches
are forecast for I-35 corridor.

NOTE - This product will no longer be generated after March 1, 2018.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...WGRFC Basins...
Minor flooding continues at some locations in the lower Neches and
Sabine basins. Significant rainfall is expected early Monday into
Tuesday in northeast Texas which cause localized moderate flooding.


              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

NOTE - This product will no longer be generated after March 1, 2018.

All information in this product can be found at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfc/quick_briefing

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfc/wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/NWSWestGulf

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfc/wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org/reservoirs/statewide

MCCANTS


$$





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