Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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AGUS73 KMSR 031546
HMDMSR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1045 AM CDT WED JUN 3 2015

...PRECIPITATION...
A FRONTAL SYSTEM FROM INTERNATIONAL FALLS MN TO RAPID CITY SD WILL
MOVE SLOWLY EAST AND SOUTH THROUGH TOMORROW AND PROVIDE THE FOCUS
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

IN THE PAST 24 HOURS...THE HEAVIEST RAIN FELL OVER NORTHWESTERN
NORTH DAKOTA WITH REPORTS OF 1 TO 2.44 INCHES. A GENERAL QUARTER
INCH TO ONE INCH OF RAIN FELL OVER THE REMAINDER OF NORTH DAKOTA
AND NORTHERN MINNESOTA...WITH A TRACE TO HALF AN INCH OVER WESTERN
IOWA.

IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...A QUARTER TO THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF
RAIN IS FORECAST TO FALL OVER MINNESOTA...WISCONSIN...THE U.P. OF
MICHIGAN...AND IOWA.  DAY 2 SHOWS THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAIN
OVER SOUTHERN IOWA...MOVING INTO ILLINOIS ON DAY 3. DAYS 4
AND 5 SHOW THE POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN OVER MUCH
OF THE NCRFC REGION.

...HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS...

MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING ALONG THE RED RIVER AT FARGO NORTH
DAKOTA.. ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT CHESTER ILLINOIS AND
ALONG THE KANKAKEE RIVER AT SHELBY INDIANA FOLLOWING HEAVY RAINS
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS.  THE FIRST TWO ARE RECEDING BUT THE
THE KANKAKEE RIVER IS STILL SLOWLY RISING.

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF SOME HEAVY RAIN OVER IOWA DURING THE
NEXT 3 DAYS.  WE DO NOT EXPECT SIGNIFICANT FLOODING BASED ON THE
CURRENT PRECIPITATION FORECAST.  HOWEVER.. THERE IS UNCERTAINTY
WITH THE PRECIPITATION FORECAST AND THE WPC IS INDICATING A SLIGHT
RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DURING THE NEXT THREE DAYS OVER
SOUTHERN AND WESTERN IOWA.  BECAUSE OF THIS WE HAVE INDICATED A
POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF IOWA IN THE
FLOOD OUTLOOK PRODUCT.

FOR ADDITIONAL AND MORE IN-DEPTH INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER
FORECASTS...PRECIPITATION AND ALL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION
IN THE NCRFC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...PLEASE REFER TO THE NCRFC
WEB PAGE AT:     HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC

EMERGENCY CALL BACK LIST: DCG JMP WES

IF NO RESPONSE FROM THIS LIST... CALL THE DOH...SCH OR HIC.


$$

...BSITES/BAC...





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