Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS03 KWNS 260721
SWODY3
SPC AC 260720

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0220 AM CDT Tue Mar 26 2024

Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Thursday.

...Synopsis and Discussion...
A southern-stream upper trough will continue to progress eastward
over the Gulf and Southeast on Thursday. A weak surface low near the
NC/SC Coast should likewise develop eastward over the western
Atlantic through the day, while a trailing cold front sweeps
southeastward across FL. Limited low-level convergence along this
front should keep any thunderstorm potential quite isolated, and the
overall threat appears too low to include any severe probabilities
at this time. Generally elevated thunderstorms may also occur across
parts of coastal GA/SC/NC through early Thursday afternoon, as
pronounced forcing for ascent associated with the upper trough
overlaps weak MUCAPE.

Occasional lightning flashes may also occur Thursday across parts of
both the coastal and interior Northwest, as well as northern
California. An upper trough is forecast to move eastward across
these areas through the period, with cold mid-level temperatures
(around -24 to -30C at 500 mb) aiding in weak destabilization.
Limited moisture and instability are expected to preclude severe
thunderstorms.

..Gleason.. 03/26/2024

$$


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