Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT

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FNUS75 KMSO 161413
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Tinker Bugs Rx
National Weather Service Missoula MT
813 AM MDT Thu May 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 PDT on May 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Westerly winds will increase between 1200-1300 PDT,
with gusts of 15-20 mph. Higher gusts of 20-30 mph will occur
across any exposed ridgetops. Winds will shift to the northwest
after 1600 PDT, with similar speeds and gusts until sunset. A cold
front will bring colder temperatures tomorrow, along with shower
activity. Given the showery nature, spotty wetting rains are
expected, with a 30 percent chance across the site.

.REST OF TODAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent.
* Chance Lightning....0 percent.
* Max Temperature.....70-75.
* Min Humidity........24-29 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........West 6-10 mph with gusts of 15-20 mph after 1300.
* Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl increasing to 7500 ft agl.
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 10 mph increasing to west 25 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches.

TIME (PDT)      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
Sky (%).........17        12        15        9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of ltng (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............56        66        71        71
RH..............56        45        35        32
20 FT wind......SW 3G10   W 7G12    W 8G16   NW 10G18
Mix hgt (ft)....500       4000      7000      6500
Transport wind..S 5       W 15      W 25      W 25

.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear then becoming mostly cloudy.
  Chance of rain overnight.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...30 percent.
* Chance Lightning....Up to 10 percent.
* Min Temperature.....45-50.
* Max Humidity........68-73 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........West 9-13 mph with gusts to around 25 mph
  decreasing to 7-8 mph with gusts to around 20 mph in the late
  evening and overnight.
* Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl decreasing to 500 ft agl early in
  the evening.
* Mixing Winds........West 20 mph becoming 20 mph early in the
  morning.
* Precip Amount.......0.07 inches.

TIME (PDT)      5 PM      8 PM      11 PM     2 AM
Sky (%).........7         6         63        80
Weather cov.....                    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      RAIN      RAIN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............30        30        30        30
Chc of ltng (%).10        10        10        10
Temp............71        62        56        54
RH..............34        43        48        58
20 FT wind......NW 10G18  NW 9G16   NW 7G11   VRB 5
Mix hgt (ft)....5500      500       500       1500
Transport wind..W 20      W 10      W 15      W 15

.FRIDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain likely in the morning,
  then chance of rain in the afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...30 percent.
* Chance Lightning....Up to 10 percent.
* Max Temperature.....51-56.
* Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........West 7-12 mph. Gusts 15-20 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl increasing to 7500 ft agl late in
  the morning.
* Mixing Winds........West 20 mph increasing to 25 mph in the
  afternoon.
* Precip Amount.......0.08 inches.

TIME (PDT)      5 AM      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM
Sky (%).........91        82        61        61
Weather cov.....LIKELY    LIKELY    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....RAIN      RAIN      RAIN      RAIN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............30        30        30        30
Chc of ltng (%).10        10        10        10
Temp............49        47        49        52
RH..............73        67        50        43
20 FT wind......W 7G20    W 10G25   W 10G20   W 13G20
Mix hgt (ft)....2000      2500      6000      7000
Transport wind..W 20      W 15      W 25      W 25

$$
Forecaster...Lukinbeal
Requested by...Tyler Martin
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414395.0/MSO
.DELDT 05/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tyler.martin@usda.gov