Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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190
FXUS64 KAMA 201946
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
246 PM CDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The mid and upper level high that has been dominating our weather
for the last few days will break down and re-develop over the Great
Basin by Saturday.

An upper level short wave trough will move southeast across southern
Colorado and northern New Mexico by Saturday afternoon. This
disturbance coupled with plenty of low level moisture should help to
spark some showers and thunderstorms near the Raton Mesa area. These
should then spread into the Panhandles on the weak northwest flow
aloft.

The upper level disturbance will hang around the Panhandles through
about Tuesday before high pressure builds back over the area.

Showers and thunderstorms will probably a daily occurrence Sunday
through Tuesday given the lift from the upper level system.  Low
level moisture will be there to help fuel the showers and
thunderstorms. Also, there may be some boundaries around the area
which may also help to focus more organized areas of showers and
thunderstorms.

High temperatures will likely go below normal Sunday and then they
may finally get back above normal by Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                68  97  68  96  67 /   0   0   0   5  30
Beaver OK                  71 103  69 102  69 /   0   0   0   5  30
Boise City OK              65  97  63  94  63 /   0   0   5  20  50
Borger TX                  75 102  74  99  72 /   0   0   0   5  30
Boys Ranch TX              71 100  70  98  69 /   0   0   0  20  30
Canyon TX                  66  97  66  96  66 /   0   0   0   5  20
Clarendon TX               68  97  69  98  69 /   0   0   0   5  20
Dalhart TX                 65  99  65  96  65 /   0   0   5  20  50
Guymon OK                  69 102  68  99  66 /   0   0   0  20  30
Hereford TX                66  97  67  95  67 /   0   0   5   5  30
Lipscomb TX                72 102  71 101  70 /   0   0   0   5  20
Pampa TX                   70 100  70  97  69 /   0   0   0   5  20
Shamrock TX                71 100  71 101  71 /   0   0   0   5  10
Wellington TX              71 100  69 102  71 /   0   0   0   5  10

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

16/15



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