Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 300401
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1101 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

.UPDATE...
EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...MOST SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY HAS FINALLY DIMINISHED. THERE ARE A FEW SHOWERS LEFT OVER
ACROSS BARBOUR COUNTY TRIGGERED FROM OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES THAT HAVE
PUSHED WESTWARD FROM GEORGIA THIS EVENING. THOSE SHOWERS SHOULDN`T
AMOUNT TO MUCH AND WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN. MEANWHILE...THE SURFACE
COLD FRONT THAT WILL PUSH THROUGH ALABAMA DURING THE DAY ON
THURSDAY IS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER INTO
WESTERN TENNESSEE NEAR MEMPHIS. THE FRONT STRETCHES NORTHEASTWARD
INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY...WHERE SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AT THIS HOUR. THERE`S A CHANCE THAT
SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS COULD STILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND
FROM OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES PUSHING SOUTHWARD AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
THEREFORE...HAVE ADDED IN A CHANCE POP FOR OUR EXTREME NORTHERN
TIER OF COUNTIES FOR THIS POSSIBILITY. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM
IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA WITH WARM AND MUGGY
TEMPERATURES CONTINUING DURING THE OVERNIGHT. UPDATES ARE ALREADY
OUT.

56/GDG

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA AT THIS TIME...WITH
A CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR STORM AT MGM AND TOI FOR THE NEXT COUPLE
HOURS. EXPECT LIGHT PATCHY FOG AGAIN TONIGHT...AND HAVE INCLUDED
MVFR VIS AT MOST TERMINALS.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY.
BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL BE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. EXPECT
WINDS TO BE OUT OF THE NORTH AS THE FRONT PASSES...BUT REMAIN BELOW
10 KTS.

14

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY VALUES WILL CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY. A WEAK COOL FRONT WILL BRING LESS HUMID AIR INTO
CENTRAL ALABAMA ON FRIDAY...ALONG WITH DECREASING CHANCES OF
RAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     75  94  71  92  67 /  20  30  20  10  10
ANNISTON    74  94  73  92  69 /  20  40  20  10  10
BIRMINGHAM  76  94  72  93  69 /  20  40  20  10  10
TUSCALOOSA  75  96  74  94  70 /  20  40  20  10   0
CALERA      75  94  72  92  70 /  20  50  20  10  10
AUBURN      74  94  74  91  72 /  20  60  30  30  30
MONTGOMERY  77  97  76  93  73 /  20  60  30  30  20
TROY        74  96  75  93  73 /  20  60  30  40  30

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$


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