Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA

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FXUS66 KHNX 241025
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
325 AM PDT THU JUL 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVER THE REGION AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS.
A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN TODAY...AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PUSHING THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THIS
MORNING. AS THE DISTURBANCE EXITS THE WEST COAST...THE REGION WILL
SEE THE RETURN OF THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE RETROGRADE BACK TO THE
AREA. SATELLITE FOG PRODUCT IMAGERY SHOWING THE STRATUS WELL
OFFSHORE THIS MORNING AS THE WIND/TEMP PROFILER SHOWS A DISRUPTED
MARINE LAYER AT FORT ORD. WHILE THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT FROM
SFO TO LAS THIS MORNING WAS AT AROUND 11MB...THE MARINE AIR
INTRUSION INTO CENTRAL CALIFORNIA IS DIMINISHING WITH TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO RISE IN THE COMING DAYS. AGAIN...THE UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE PUSHED THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE
POTENTIAL FOR PRECIP OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA.

WHILE THE REGION WILL TRANSITION TO A WARMING ENVIRONMENT...THE
TRANSITION WILL BE SLOW ONE AS THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IS NOT
EXPECTED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AREA UNTIL SATURDAY. THEREFORE...
FRIDAY WILL REMAIN DRY UNDER A WEAK ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN WITH
TEMPERATURES RISING BY A FEW DEGREES. MODELS THEN PROG THE FLOW
ALOFT TO SHIFT TO A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION BY THIS WEEKEND.
AT WHICH TIME...SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN A NORTHERLY SURGE.
MODELS SHOW THE DISTRICT BEGINNING TO MOISTEN-UP LATE FRIDAY WITH
AROUND 0.75 OF AN INCH PRECIP-WATER TOWARD SUNDAY. THEREFORE...
WILL KEEP THE MENTION OF PRECIP (THUNDERSTORMS) CONFINED TO THE
SIERRA NEVADA (AND TEHACHAPI/S)...FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

BY MONDAY...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WELL IN CONTROL OF THE WEST. WHILE
HOT TEMPERATURES WILL SEEN BY SATURDAY...THE HOT CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK. EVEN WITH WEAK SHORT-WAVE TROF/S RIDING
OVER THE RIDGE PATTERN...THE RIDGE WILL NOT BREAK DOWN INTO THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THEREFORE...WILL SEE LITTLE CHANGE IN THE
WEATHER ONCE TEMPERATURES BEGIN HITTING THE CENTURY MARK.
FURTHERMORE...MODELS SHOW A CONTINUATION OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE
SURGING INTO CALIFORNIA FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. WITH THIS...WILL SEE
KEEP A MENTION OF MOUNTAIN THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 07-24      113:2006     87:1999     85:2006     55:1903
KFAT 07-25      113:2006     76:1913     82:2006     56:1889
KFAT 07-26      113:1931     84:1965     80:1931     56:1955

KBFL 07-24      115:1908     83:1999     83:2006     52:1914
KBFL 07-25      116:1931     84:1984     84:2006     50:1913
KBFL 07-26      117:1931     84:1965     83:1974     55:1903
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MOLINA
AVN/FW...JEB
SYNOPSIS...MOLINA

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD







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