Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Indianapolis, IN

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FXUS63 KIND 190713
AFDIND

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
313 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.UPDATE...
THE SYNOPSIS...NEAR TERM AND SHORT TERM SECTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED BELOW.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 311 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD EAST INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY THROUGH SATURDAY...PROVIDING DRY WEATHER. TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM UP SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND. A WEAK COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS THE REGION LATE SATURDAY NIGHT
AND EARLY SUNDAY...BRINGING CHANCES FOR RAIN THEN. ANOTHER HIGH
PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO ARRIVE IN THE REGION FOR SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY KEEPING DRY WEATHER ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF THE NEXT WEEK ALONG WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...

ISSUED AT 311 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

YET ANOTHER PLEASANT DAY IN STORE FOR CENTRAL INDIANA AS A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES JUST EASTWARD OF THE REGION BRINGING SLIGHTLY
WARMER TEMPERATURES INTO THE REGION. HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS
AFTERNOON WILL STILL FALL A FEW DEGREES SHORT OF NORMAL FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR...HOWEVER SHOULD BE THE WARMEST THE AREA HAS SEEN IN
ALMOST A WEEK. SHORT TERM GUIDANCE IS IN DECENT AGREEMENT SO USED A
BLEND WHICH YIELDS HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...

ISSUED AT 311 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT. WENT SLIGHTLY BELOW MOS FOR
LOWS AVERAGING MID 50S. SATURDAY APPEARS TO BE THE WARMEST DAY IN
THE SHORT TERM AS THE RIDGE MOVES OFF FARTHER TO THE EAST AND
CENTRAL INDIANA RECEIVES SOME RETURN FLOW ON THE FORM OF SOUTHWEST
SURFACE WINDS. ONCE AGAIN GUIDANCE IS STILL IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT
SO WENT WITH A BLEND OF HIGHS AROUND 80 TO LOW 80S. CLOUDS WILL BE
ON THE INCREASE LATE IN THE DAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT
PROJECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT...AND POSSIBLE
SOME SHOWER REMNANTS FROM THE FROPA WILL IMPACT THE FORECAST AREA
EARLY SUNDAY. SUNDAY LOOKS DRY. INCREASED POPS TO LIKELY DURING THE
TIMING OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE FROM 00Z SUNDAY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
COUNTIES TIL 09Z...WHEN THIS FEATURE APPEARS TO STALL/WASH OUT
ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA. GIVEN THE EXPECTED CLOUDS AND RAIN...WILL
TREND LOWS ON SATURDAY NIGHT WARMER THAN MOS AND HIGHS ON SUNDAY
COOLER.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
ISSUED AT 233 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

MODELS INDICATE THE COMING WORK WEEK WILL BE DOMINATED BY HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT. THUS...EXPECT
ANOTHER PROLONGED DRY STRETCH FOR CENTRAL INDIANA...AND WILL CARRY
NO POPS THROUGHOUT.

THICKNESSES AND HEIGHTS INDICATE TEMPS SHOULD REMAIN A BIT BELOW
NORMAL...BUT GRADUALLY WARMING THROUGH THE PERIOD. INITIALIZATION
HANDLED THIS WELL AND FEW TWEAKS WERE REQUIRED.

SHOULD BE A VERY PLEASANT EARLY FALL WEEK ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA.

&&

.AVIATION /DISCUSSION FOR THE 19/06Z TAFS/...
ISSUED AT 101 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

MVFR FOG EXPECTED AT ALL BUT KIND OVERNIGHT...OTHERWISE VFR THROUGH
THE PERIOD.

LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LIKELY LEAD TO MVFR FOG AT ALL BUT
KIND OVERNIGHT. CANNOT RULE OUT BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS BUT WITH DRYING
TODAY FEEL ODDS ARE TOO LOW TO MENTION.

OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH WINDS GENERALLY AT OR BELOW 10KT.


&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...SMF
NEAR TERM...SMF
SHORT TERM...SMF
LONG TERM...NIELD
AVIATION...50

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