Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 191101
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
501 AM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

.UPDATE...
Updated to include 12Z Aviation Discussion.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 157 AM CST Sun Nov 19 2017/

DISCUSSION...

Canadian high pressure will settle over the Mid South today. This
will provide dry but cool weather with high temperatures remaining
below normal. Highs will range from the middle 40s across northwest
Tennessee to the lower 50s over north Mississippi. High pressure
will move overhead tonight. Clear skies, light winds, and a dry
airmass will provide favorable radiational cooling conditions.
This will mean a cold night ahead with widespread freezing
conditions expected. Low temperatures will range from the middle
20s in the Tennessee Valley to around freezing in downtown
Memphis.

High pressure will move east on Monday with return southerly low
level flow advecting warmer air into the region. Temperatures will
moderate through Tuesday with dry weather continuing. Highs on
Monday will range from the middle to upper 50s, with upper 50s to
lower 60s on Tuesday. Lows will range from the lower to middle 30s
Monday night.

Another cold front will move across the Mid South Tuesday night
which will usher in colder temperatures that will continue through
the Thanksgiving holiday. Limited moisture ahead of this front
should allow it to pass through the forecast area dry. High
temperatures on Wednesday will only be in the middle 40s to lower
50s with brisk northerly winds making conditions feel even colder
with the wind chill. Thanksgiving day will only be slightly warmer
with highs ranging from near 50 degrees north to the middle 50s
south. Dry weather will persist through the end of the holiday
week.

High pressure will move east by the end of the week into next
weekend with warmer weather and continued dry conditions. Another
cold front will move through next Saturday night with cooler
weather again for next Sunday.

JLH

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFs

VFR conditions expected through the period. NW winds between 5-8
kts will increase to 8-11 kts with a few gusts today, then become
light by tonight.

CJC

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$



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