Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 280417

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1117 PM CDT Thu Oct 27 2016

.UPDATE... /issued 834 PM CDT Thu Oct 27 2016/

An east-west band of Cu around 5000 ft along the TN/MS line will
gradually erode as it moves south this evening, giving way to
mostly clear skies for much of the night. We will see some high
clouds move in from the northwest late, but it should have little
affect on low temperatures. With light winds and clear skies, we
should see decent cooling overnight. Min temperatures will be in
the 50s across most of the Mid-South, but were lowered into the
upper 40s across portions of northwest TN, especially those areas
from Union City to Paris. Otherwise, the forecast is in good shape
with generally benign conditions expected over the next week.



.DISCUSSION... /issued 252 PM CDT Thu Oct 27 2016/

Skies are partly cloudy over much of the forecast area this
afternoon with temperatures ranging from the lower 70s to mid 80s.
The cold front was across west Tennessee and northeast Arkansas at
this time. Moisture has been limited ahead of the front so no
showers or thunderstorms have developed. The front will make its
way into north Mississippi tonight and stall out. Since moisture
remains limited, no rain is expected tonight. Temperatures will
remain above normal tonight with lows Friday morning in the lower
50s to around 60 degrees.

On Friday, the front will lift back north as a warm front. This
will keep temperatures well above normal with highs in the low to
mid 80s. High pressure will be over the southeast U.S. during much
of the weekend which will mean more dry and unseasonably warm
weather. Highs on Saturday will be in the mid 80s for much of the
forecast area.

By Sunday, a new cold front will be approaching the Ohio Valley
but should die out before reaching the forecast area. Temperatures
will remain quite warm with highs in the low to mid 80s.

Dry and warm weather will continue from Monday through next
Thursday. Another cold front will try to reach the forecast area
on Wednesday but it appears that it will not make it here.




06Z TAF Set

Patchy fog may develop overnight at KMEM, KMKL, KJBR and KTUP.
Will continue with tempo groups for low VSBYS and CIGS. Otherwise,
VFR conditions will occur the rest of the period. Light and
variable winds expected over the next 24 hours.





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