Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 300122
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
922 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.UPDATE...
ANOMALOUS OUT-OF-SEASON FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO MOVE CLOSER
TO CENTRAL FLORIDA. MOISTURE OUT AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY SPARKED A
HEALTHY COVERAGE OF STORMS THIS EVENING WITH A FEW OF THE STORMS
PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS DUE TO DRIER AIR INFILTRATING THE MID LEVELS
OF THE ATMOSPHERE. MELBOURNE RADAR SHOWS LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
RETURNS NOW WITH THE LAST OF THE ANVIL DEBRIS RAIN DISSIPATING AS IT
MOVES SOUTH.

AN IMPRESSIVE MOISTURE GRADIENT IS SETTING UP ACROSS THE NORTH
HALF OF THE STATE WITH SATELLITE ESTIMATED PWATS RANGING FROM 2.2
INCHES AT CAPE CANAVERAL TO 1.0 INCH OVER TALLAHASSEE. EXPECT SOME
OF THAT DRIER AIR TO WORK ITS WAY DOWN THE PENINSULA OVERNIGHT.
RAIN CHANCES OVERNIGHT EXPECTED TO BE NIL AS MUCH OF THE
ATMOSPHERE HAS BEEN WORKED OVER. WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
THROUGH MIDNIGHT TO ACCOUNT FOR LINGERING LIGHT RAIN MOVING THROUGH
THE CWA.

LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW...NEARLY CALM FOR SOME PLACES...WILL REMAIN
DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. ANOTHER MUGGY NIGHT IN STORE WITH
LOWS IN THE MID 70S MOST LOCATIONS.

&&

.AVIATION...
MAINLY VFR THROUGH DAYBREAK THURS. FRONTAL TROUGH NEARBY MAY
PROMOTE SOME LOW CLOUDS TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT..HOWEVER CONFIDENCE
NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN THE TAFS AT THIS TIME. SCATTERED TSRA
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TOMORROW AFTER NOON...PRIMARY ACROSS OUR
SOUTHERN TERMINALS ACROSS THE TREASURE COAST (KVRB-KFPR-KSUA).

&&

.MARINE...
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN WEAK AND A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW
10 KNOTS OR LESS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE WATERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS/STORMS WILL ALSO EXIST THROUGH THE NIGHT...MAINLY
SOUTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  74  91  75  92 /  20  10  10  20
MCO  74  95  75  95 /  20  20  20  20
MLB  74  91  75  92 /  20  20  20  30
VRB  73  91  74  91 /  20  30  20  30
LEE  74  95  76  95 /  20  10  10  20
SFB  76  95  77  95 /  20  10  10  20
ORL  76  95  78  95 /  20  10  20  20
FPR  74  90  73  91 /  20  40  30  30

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

$$

AVIATION/FORECAST UPDATE...ULRICH
RADAR/IMPACT WEATHER...PENDERGRAST





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