Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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219
FXUS62 KMLB 050148
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
948 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS GRADUALLY CLEARING OUT
FROM WEST TO EAST AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. THIS BOUNDARY WILL PUSH
SOUTHEAST AND THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT WITH DRIER AIR BUILDING
IN BEHIND THE BOUNDARY. RAIN CHANCES WILL END BY LATE TONIGHT
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WITH CLOUD COVER GRADUALLY CLEARING
OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL IN THE LOW 60S OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA...EXCEPT N/W OF I-4 WHERE UPPER 50S WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR
DAYBREAK THURSDAY. UPDATED THE ZONES TO REFRESH WORDING BASED ON
LATEST SATELLITE/RADAR TRENDS FOR TONIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS ARE SHIFTING EASTWARD AND
WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR THE AREA AROUND TO JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT AS
FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPO
IFR/MVFR CONDS WILL OCCUR WITH SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY AND SOME
LINGERING LOW CLOUD ALONG THE FRONT THROUGH 06Z.

DRIER AIR BUILDING IN BEHIND THE FRONT WILL THEN LEAD TO CLEARING
SKIES BY LATE TONIGHT WITH PREDOMINANT VFR CONDS THEN EXPECTED
THROUGH THURSDAY. BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
INTO TOMORROW AFTERNOON BEHIND THE FRONT WITH W/NW WINDS UP TO
15-17 KTS GUSTING TO AROUND 20-25 KTS.

&&

.MARINE...S/SW WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BECOME W/NW AS FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE WATERS...INCREASING UP TO 20-25 KNOTS OFFSHORE.
THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY BUILD SEAS UP TO 7 FEET IN THE GULF
STREAM. WILL THEREFORE ISSUE A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS OVERNIGHT...CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY MORNING
THURSDAY FOR THESE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS. NEARSHORE SMALL
CRAFT WILL STILL WANT TO EXERCISE CAUTION FOR WIND SPEEDS UP TO 15
TO 20 KNOTS.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

WEITLICH/LASCODY



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