Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FXUS62 KMLB 010340 AAA
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1040 PM EST SAT FEB 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...

THE HEAVY RAINS FROM EARLIER HAVE TAPERED OFF. OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY
JUST TO OUR SOUTH HAS BEGUN LIFTING BACK NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT.
AIRMASS REMAINS QUITE MOIST AND THE E/NE FLOW WILL KEEP AT LEAST A
SMALL THREAT FOR SHOWERS OVERNIGHT SO HAVE LOWERED RAIN CHANCES TO
20-40 PERCENT. COVERAGE OF SHOWERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
DECREASE OVERNIGHT. LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG WILL OVERSPREAD THE
AREA AND TEMPERATURES SHOULD NOT FALL FAR FROM THEIR CURRENT
READINGS.

SUN (MODIFIED)...A WARM AND HUMID DAY EXPECTED AS WEAKENING HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE ATLC PRODUCES SE WINDS...WITH SUFFICIENT MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY FOR SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON SHOWERS...PERHAPS
EVEN AN ISOLD STORM OVER THE INTERIOR. MAXES IN THE U70S NORTH AND
IMMEDIATE COAST WITH L80S INLAND...AND SOME L-M70S ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE VOLUSIA COASTLINE DUE TO SHELF WATER TEMPS IN THE U50S-
L60S.


&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT MVFR/IFR CIGS TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AS WARM FRONT
LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE AREA. THERE SHOULD ALSO BE SOME VSBY
REDUCTIONS FROM FOG.

&&

.MARINE...SOLID ADVISORY CONDITIONS OCCURRING OVER ALL THE ATLANTIC
WATERS WITH EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 20 KNOTS AND GUSTY WITH SEAS 9
FT AT BUOY 009 AND 7 FT AT SCRIPPS BUOY (41114) JUST OFFSHORE FPR.
SEAS WILL REMAIN 7-10FT THROUGH TONIGHT...DROPPING OFF TO 5-8FT BY
SUN AFTERNOON.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  65  75  59  74 /  50  40  10  10
MCO  64  82  63  82 /  40  40  20  10
MLB  68  78  64  78 /  40  40  10  10
VRB  69  80  64  81 /  40  40  10  10
LEE  60  79  62  80 /  50  40  20  10
SFB  62  80  61  79 /  50  40  10  10
ORL  63  81  63  80 /  50  40  20  10
FPR  68  80  64  81 /  40  40  10  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY FOR FLAGLER BEACH TO
     VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM-SEBASTIAN INLET TO
     JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM-VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO
     SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR FLAGLER BEACH TO
     VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-SEBASTIAN INLET TO
     JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM-VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO
     SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM.

&&

$$

KELLY/MOSES



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