Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 251234
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
835 AM EDT MON MAY 25 2015

.DISCUSSION...NOT MUCH CHANGE IN ONGOING PATTERN WITH WATER VAPOR
SATELLITE CONTINUING TO SHOW CONSIDERABLE DRYING ALOFT TO OUR EAST
UNDERNEATH THE DEEP RIDGE ALONG THE EASTERN US COAST.

WITH LOW LEVEL RIDGE ALSO CENTERED OFF THE EAST COAST TO OUR NORTH
WE WILL REMAIN DEEP EAST-SOUTHEAST FLOW WHICH WILL ADVECT THIS MID
LEVEL AIRMASS INTO OUR AREA TODAY.

AS RADAR SHOWS THIS MORNING...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS SUFFICIENT
FOR ISOLATED ATLANTIC SHOWERS. THESE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
COAST...TRANSLATING INLAND WITH DIFFUSE SEA BREEZE LATER THIS
MORNING. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES REMAIN LOW...BUT COULD SEE ONE OR TWO
WITH LOCAL LAKE BOUNDARY COLLISIONS ACROSS WESTERN ORANGE/LAKE
COUNTIES. OVERALL ATMOSPHERE IS JUST TO STABLE FOR MUCH DEEP
CONVECTION.

HIGHS IN THE MID 80S ALONG THE COAST AND LOW 90S INLAND. THE BRISK
ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE FOR ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS ALONG
LOCAL BEACHES. REMEMBER TO ONLY ENTER THE WATER NEAR A LIFEGUARD.

&&

.AVIATION... ISOLD ATLC SHRA AFFECTING COASTAL SITES MOST OF THE
DAY. TEMPO MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT REGION THROUGH 17Z WITH
DAYTIME CU DEVELOPMENT AND ALSO IN/NEAR ANY SHOWERS. ISOLD SHRA
TRANSLATE INLAND AFTER 15Z...POSSIBLY FOR STORM OR TWO VCNTY KLEE-
KORL-KMCO-KISM THROUGH 20Z BEFORE MOST CONVECTION SHIFTS WEST OF
AREA.

A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND 20 KNOTS AND MAYBE TO 25 KNOTS KMLB-KSUA
THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE... POOR CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT OPERATION WILL CONTINUE.
EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS LOOK RATHER STEADY NEAR 15 KNOTS WHICH WILL
PRODUCE CHOPPY SEAS NEAR 5 FEET OVER MOST OF THE WATERS WITH UP TO 6
FEET AT TIMES IN THE GULF STREAM. EXERCISE CAUTION STATEMENTS WILL
BE NECESSARY ESPECIALLY OVER THE GULF STREAM.

&&

.CLIMATE...ORLANDO AND VERO BEACH HAD RECORD WARM LOWS ON SUNDAY.
HERE ARE THE RECORD WARM LOWS FOR TODAY/TOMORROW.

LOC  DATE   HI-MIN
DAB 25-MAY  75 1991
MCO 25-MAY  74 2014
MLB 25-MAY  76 1991
VRB 25-MAY  77 1991

DAB 26-MAY  73 1991
MCO 26-MAY  74 1943
MLB 26-MAY  78 2014
VRB 26-MAY  76 1991

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

MOSES/CRISTALDI


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