Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 050148 AAC
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
848 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2015

.UPDATE...
CURRENT TEMP TRENDS CONTINUE TO BE IN LINE WITH FORECASTED LOW
VALUES ACROSS MID STATE TONIGHT. WHEN APPROPRIATE THRU THE
REMAINDER OF THE EVENING HRS...WILL TWEAK HRLY TEMP...DEWPOINT...
SKY CONDITION...AND WIND SPEED/DIRECTION GRIDS. REMAINDER OF
FORECAST CONTINUES TO REMAIN ON TRACK.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION.../ISSUED 703 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2015/

UPDATE...
UPDATED THE SUITE OF FORECAST PRODUCTS TO REMOVE THE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON GROUPING IN THE ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT. WITH CONVECTION
ACROSS MID STATE DISSIPATED...REMOVED MENTION OF SHWRS/TSTMS FOR
THE EARLY EVENING HRS. ADJUSTED PREVIOUS MENTION OF PATCHY FOG TO
THE EARLY MORNING HRS ONLY. ADJUSTED SKY CONDITIONS ACROSS ERN
PORTIONS OF THE MID STATE SAT AFTERNOON. TWEAKED HRLY TEMP...
DEWPOINT...SKY CONDITION...AND WIND SPEED/DIRECTION GRIDS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 625 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2015/

AVIATION UPDATE...
00Z TAFS...MAINLY VFR THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS UNDER HIGH
PRESSURE. AREAS OF LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING FOG WILL
DEVELOP...SO INCLUDING TEMPO BR FOR CKV AND CSV. OTHERWISE...SCT
CU AND LIGHT E WINDS FOR SATURDAY. ISOLD TSRA CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...BUT COVERAGE MUCH TOO LIMITED TO INCLUDE IN TAFS.

13

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 308 PM CDT FRI SEP 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED CONVECTION HAS FIRED OVER THE WESTERN COUNTIES AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON. LIKE YESTERDAY STORMS WILL DIE QUICKLY AFTER LOSS OF
INSOLATION. LABOR DAY WEEKEND LOOKS LIKE MORE SUMMERTIME STATUS
QUO WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND ISOLATED POPS. ISOLATED STORMS
TOMORROW LOOK TO BE CONFINED MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATION OF
THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER
SE GA. A LITTLE DEEPER MOISTURE FROM THE UPPER LOW WILL MAKE IT
TOWARD I 65 ON SUNDAY SO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS WERE MOVED FARTHER
EAST ON SUNDAY. LABOR DAY LOOKS DRIER WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A
STORMS REMAINING OVER THE PLATEAU. STORM COVERAGE WILL INCREASE ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS PROFILES MOISTEN UP A BIT. THE BEST RAIN
CHANCE OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. MODELS ARE STILL IN DISAGREEMENT WITH THE
TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT SO WENT WITH A BLEND. THE MODELS ARE IN
AGREEMENT THAT MUCH MORE PLEASANT TEMPERATURES AND DRIER AIR AWAIT
BEHIND THE FRONT. AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES IN THE NEARER
FUTURE...SATURDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY WITH ANOTHER DAY IN THE
MID 90S OVER A LARGE PORTION OF MIDDLE TN. TEMPERATURES SHOULD
FALL OFF A COUPLE OF DEGREES ON SUNDAY AND REMAIN IN THE UPPER 80S
TO LOW 90S THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WITH MORE CLOUD COVER ON THURSDAY
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER.

REAGAN

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      71  94  72  91 /  10  10  10  20
CLARKSVILLE    68  93  68  92 /  10  10  10  10
CROSSVILLE     68  86  67  82 /  10  30  20  30
COLUMBIA       69  93  69  90 /  10  10  10  20
LAWRENCEBURG   69  92  69  89 /  10  10  10  20
WAVERLY        69  94  69  91 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
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