Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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000
FXUS64 KOHX 062325
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
525 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST WITH MID AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
DOWN THROUGH THE AREA WILL PULL EAST THIS EVENING TAKING THE MID
AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS WITH IT. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE OFF TO
OUR NORTHWEST WILL MOVE THIS WAY AND BRING CLOUDINESS BACK INTO
THE MID STATE BEGINNING LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT NOT QUITE AS COLD AS LAST NIGHT BUT STILL
CHILLY WITH HIGHS ON SUNDAY IN THE 50S. LIGHT RAIN CHANCES RETURN
SUNDAY EVENING AS SYSTEM OFF TO OUR NORTHWEST GETS CLOSER WITH
RAIN BECOMING MIXED WITH LIGHT SNOW BUT NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED
SUNDAY NIGHT WITH TEMPS REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING. COLD MONDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE 30S WITH A GOOD CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
POSSIBLY MIXING WITH LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS AT TIMES ACROSS THE AREA
DURING THE DAY AS COLD AIR ADVECTION REALLY KICKS IN WITH 850 MBAR
TEMPS DOWN IN THE -10 DEGREE RANGE AND EVEN COLDER DURING THE
AFTERNOON. BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS WILL BE ABOVE FREEZING BUT I`VE
SEEN IT SNOW WHEN SURFACE TEMP WAS 43 DEGREES HERE IN NASHVILLE
IF THERE IS ENOUGH COLD AIR ADVECTION ALOFT IT CAN HAPPEN. SNOW
SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT AND ON TUESDAY WITH EVEN COLDER AIR POURING
IN WITH LOWS TUESDAY MORNING IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE 20S WITH HIGHS
STRUGGLING TO REACH FREEZING WEST OF PLATEAU ON TUESDAY BUT
REMAINING BELOW FREEZING EASTERN AREAS AND ALONG PLATEAU. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ON THE ORDER OF 1 TO 2 INCHES LOOK POSSIBLE ALONG
THE PLATEAU ESPECIALLY IN THE UPPER CUMBERLAND AND IN NORTHEAST
MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

DRY WEDNESDAY INTO THE WEEKEND WITH NO MAJOR WARM UP IN SIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR FLIGHT RULES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL BE VERY LIGHT
TO CALM OVERNIGHT BUT WILL PICK UP AROUND 18Z SUNDAY AS THE
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS A BIT. SW GUSTS OF 18-20 KTS
ARE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY FOR KCKV.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION........UNGER
LONG TERM..................01/BOYD


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