Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS28 KWNS 212148
FWDD38

DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0447 PM CDT THU AUG 21 2014

VALID 231200Z - 291200Z

ON SATURDAY /D3/...THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN WILL FEATURE A TROUGH
OVER THE WRN CONUS WITH A DOWNSTREAM RIDGE OVER THE ERN CONUS.  THIS
PATTERN WILL FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
CNTRL/NRN PLAINS...LEADING TO HOT AND BREEZY CONDITIONS OVER
PORTIONS OF SRN PLAINS /TOO MARGINAL ATTM TO HIGHLIGHT FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS/.  WHILE THE MODELS/ENSEMBLES DIFFER IN THE DETAILS OF THE
EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH BEYOND SATURDAY /D3/...THERE IS
GENERAL CONSENSUS OF AT LEAST A BRIEF DRYING/WARMING PERIOD OVER THE
WEST AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK.
CONSEQUENTLY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL /AND CORRESPONDING DRY
THUNDERSTORM THREAT/ WILL BE LIMITED DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD OVER
MUCH OF THE WEST.  IN ADDITION...THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD STRONG
WINDS APPEARS RELATIVELY LOW ACROSS THE CONUS...LIMITING CONCERNS
FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

..JIRAK.. 08/21/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...




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