Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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591
FNUS72 KJAX 291235
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR AG-CENTER...FFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
835 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION THROUGH SATURDAY...
WITH A FAIRLY DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE. THE ATLANTIC SEA BREEZE WILL PUSH
OVER THE PRESCRIBED BURN SITE BETWEEN 2 PM AND 5 PM. THIS BOUNDARY
MAY TRIGGER A COUPLE OF SHOWERS OR A THUNDERSTORM.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...SIGNIFICANT FOG IS NOT EXPECTED THE
NEXT FEW MORNINGS. THE HEAT INDEX WILL BE AROUND 101 TO 104 NEAR
THE BURN SITE TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT)...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    THIS AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AROUND 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1600...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 44.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........10     12     12     20     34
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                            S CHC
TEMP............83     91     95     96     93
RH..............74     58     46     42     49
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 6    S 6    S 8    SE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     15     15
DISPERSION IDX..9      33     45     46     39
LVORI...........3      1      1      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      10     10     20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....30 DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........39     47     48     45     39     40
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........S CHC
TEMP............92     87     84     82     80     79
RH..............51     61     70     77     82     85
20 FT WIND......SE 10  S 10   S 8    SW 7   SW 6   W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     10
DISPERSION IDX..30     10     7      5      3      2
LVORI...........1      3      3      4      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     10     10     10     10     10

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 37.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........45     52     47     46     49     36
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                            S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............78     80     88     93     95     94
RH..............88     82     66     54     49     51
20 FT WIND......W 3    W 5    NW 3   N 5    E 7    SE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.5             5             10     15
DISPERSION IDX..2      5      14     28     40     38
LVORI...........6      4      3      2      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...MATT DEDMON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160729.AGCEN.01/JAX



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