Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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AGUS73 KMSR 231735

Hydrometeorological Forecast Discussion
NWS North Central River Forecast Center Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1030 AM CST Thu Nov 23 2017


Up to 1.5" of snow fell across northern Minnesota during the past
24 hours.  Snow water equivalent reports have been as high as

During the next three days up to a quarter inch of precipitation
is forecast over Minnesota, northern Wisconsin, northern Lower
Michigan, and the Upper Peninsula of Michigan.  Heavier amounts
are expected along the southern shore of Lake Superior and
northern Lake Michigan.  Precipitation should fall as snow in the
north and possibly rain in the south.

Warming temperatures this weekend may cause some of the
snowpack in northern North Dakota, northern Minnesota, northern
Wisconsin, and the Upper Peninsula of Michigan to erode.

...Hydrologic Conditions...
The soils are wet and the rivers are running high throughout
Wisconsin, Michgigan and eastern Minnesota. Despite these
conditions, the steady light preciptitation we have been
experiencing over the fall has prevented significant flooding.
The Kankakee River at Shelby, Indiana is our only point above
flood stage and is currently in recession. It is expected to drop
below minor flood stage over the weekend.

The light precipitation in the forecast will give rivers a chance
to move some of the water out of the region but freezing and
thawing as temperatures fluctuate may lead to minor fluctuations
in stage.  In the northern reaches of the NCRFC where significant
snowfall has accumulated, the forecast warm spell will bring some
short-lived rises in flow as snowpack becomes snowmelt. Despite
that, no significant flooding is expected.

For additional and more in-depth information concerning river
forecasts, precipitation and all hydrometeorological information
in the NCRFC area of responsibility, please refer to the NCRFC
web page at:     http://www.weather.gov/ncrfc

Emergency Call Back List: MAW ... RHR ... ANM

If no response from this list, call the DOH, SCH or HIC.



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