Marine Interpretation Message
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000
AGPN40 KWNM 180847
MIMPAC

Marine Weather Discussion for N Pacific Ocean
NWS Ocean Prediction Center Washington DC
1247 AM PST WED JAN 18 2017

.FORECAST DISCUSSION...Major features/winds/seas/significant
.weather for the North Pacific N of 30N and E of 150W.

The Satelite pictures show the eastern pacific to be very chaotic
as a series of short waves cross the region while enhancing the
winds. The most recent ascat pass from 0435Z indicates the
strongest winds 45-50 kt are occuring in the coastal waters along
the oregon coast at this time. Southwesterly gales are also
occuring ahead of the front across the northern california
waters. winds to gale force are also found on the the southern
flank of the low over the washington waters as well. The overall
pattern across the eastern pacific will continue to be very
progressive during the upcoming week as as steady stream of energy
pours across the waters. The forecast will be very challenging to
say the least as the timing of the individual systems will be
difficult. Despite all of this the 00z global models are in about
as good agreement as can be expected through day 5. Dont be
fooled...its far from a summertime pattern...but ive seen worse
model agreement. For the past several days we have been populating
for the most part with the GFS...and I will again tonight. The GFS
is in the best agreement with the UKMET...especially with the
storm system moving into the washington waters on day 5...although
the GFS remains the strongest thus far.

seas...both the wam and enp intialized ok across the region. will
populate the waters using a blend of 66 percent enp to 33 percent
wam. I am imputing some of the wam to hedge against the gfs being
too strong with the system late in the week.

.EXTRATROPICAL STORM SURGE GUIDANCE...n/a.

.WARNINGS...Preliminary.

.PZ5 Washington/Oregon Waters...
.PZZ800...Inner Waters from Cape Flattery to Cape Shoalwater...
     Gale today.
     Gale Possible Friday into Friday night.
     Gale Possible Saturday night into Sunday.
     Storm Possible Sunday night.
.PZZ900...Outer Waters from Cape Flattery to Cape Shoalwater...
     Gale today into tonight.
     Gale Possible Friday.
     Storm Possible Saturday night.
     Gale Possible Sunday.
     Storm Possible Sunday night.
.PZZ805...Inner Waters from Cape Shoalwater to Cape Lookout...
     Gale today.
     Gale Thursday night.
     Gale Possible Friday.
     Storm Possible Saturday night.
     Gale Possible Sunday.
     Storm Possible Sunday night.
.PZZ905...Outer Waters from Cape Shoalwater to Cape Lookout...
     Gale Thursday night.
     Gale Possible Friday.
     Storm Possible Saturday night into Sunday night.
.PZZ810...Inner Waters from Cape Lookout to Florence OR...
     Gale today.
     Gale Thursday night.
     Gale Possible Friday.
     Storm Possible Saturday night.
     Gale Possible Sunday into Sunday night.
.PZZ910...Outer Waters from Cape Lookout to Florence OR...
     Gale Thursday night.
     Gale Possible Saturday.
     Storm Possible Saturday night into Sunday night.
.PZZ815...Inner Waters from Florence OR to Point St. George...
     Gale today.
     Gale Thursday night.
     Gale Possible Friday night.
     Storm Possible Saturday night.
     Gale Possible Sunday into Sunday night.
.PZZ915...Outer Waters from Florence OR to Point St. George...
     Gale Thursday night.
     Gale Possible Friday into Saturday.
     Storm Possible Saturday night into Sunday night.

.PZ6 California Waters...
.PZZ820...Inner Waters from Point St. George to Point Arena...
     Gale today.
     Gale Thursday night.
     Gale Possible Friday into Friday night.
     Storm Possible Saturday night.
     Gale Possible Sunday.
.PZZ920...Outer Waters from Point St. George to Point Arena...
     Gale today.
     Gale Thursday night.
     Gale Possible Friday.
     Storm Possible Friday night.
     Storm Possible Saturday night.
     Gale Possible Sunday into Sunday night.
.PZZ825...Inner Waters from Point Arena to Pigeon Point...
     Gale today into tonight.
     Gale Thursday night.
     Gale Possible Friday into Friday night.
     Gale Possible Saturday night.
.PZZ925...Outer Waters from Point Arena to Pigeon Point...
     Gale today.
     Gale Thursday night.
     Gale Possible Friday into Friday night.
     Gale Possible Saturday night.
.PZZ830...Inner Waters from Pigeon Point to Point Piedras Blancas...
     Gale today into tonight.
     Gale Thursday night.
     Gale Possible Friday into Friday night.
     Gale Possible Saturday night.
.PZZ930...Outer Waters from Pigeon Point to Point Piedras Blancas...
     Gale today into tonight.
     Gale Thursday night.
     Gale Possible Friday into Friday night.
     Gale Possible Saturday night.
.PZZ835...Inner Waters from Point Piedras Blancas to Santa Cruz Island, CA...
     Gale Possible Friday into Friday night.
     Gale Possible Saturday night into Sunday.
.PZZ935...Outer Waters from Point Piedras Blancas to Santa Cruz Island, CA...
     Gale Possible Friday into Friday night.
     Gale Possible Saturday night into Sunday.
.PZZ840...Inner Waters from Santa Cruz Island, CA to San Clemente Island, CA...
     Gale Possible Friday into Friday night.
.PZZ940...Outer Waters from Santa Cruz Island, CA to 120W...
     Gale Possible Friday night.
     Gale Possible Sunday.
.PZZ945...Outer Waters from 120W to San Clemente Island, CA...
     Gale Possible Friday night.

$$

.Forecaster Shaw. Ocean Prediction Center.



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