Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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FXUS01 KWBC 301957
PMDSPD

SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
356 PM EDT MON MAY 30 2016

VALID 00Z TUE MAY 31 2016 - 00Z THU JUN 02 2016

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS
OF THE EAST COAST...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS
OF THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST...

...WARMING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THE WEST COAST...

BONNIE HAS WEAKENED TO A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE AND IS EXPECTED TO
LINGER NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
VERY MOIST AIR STREAMING NORTHWARD OF THE CIRCULATION, AHEAD OF AN
ADVANCING COLD FRONT AND IS AIDING IN THE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION. AREAS OF LOCALIZED
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING, ESPECIALLY FOR COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA. WIDESPREAD FLASH
FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
NORTHEAST REGIONS ON TUESDAY AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES OFFSHORE.
THE REMNANTS OF BONNIE ARE FORECAST TO LINGER OFF THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING, WHICH WILL MAINTAIN CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED
ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS TODAY AS A
COLD FRONT EXITED THE ROCKIES AND BEGAN PUSHING INTO THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ADVANCE
EASTWARD, THE AREA OF PRECIPITATION WILL EXPAND INTO THE MIDWEST
BY TUESDAY. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING FOR
PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST WILL
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONALLY, THE STORM
PREDICTION CENTER HAS IDENTIFIED PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN PLAINS AS HAVING A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FARTHER SOUTH
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES
SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER A WIDE AREA FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
TO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES ON WEDNESDAY AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES
TO PUSH THROUGH THE CENTRAL U.S.

A WARMER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WEST AS
MID-TO-UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA. NUMEROUS
LOCATIONS WILL HAVE TEMPERATURE RANGING 5 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE THE
SEASONAL AVERAGE FOR EARLY JUNE.


CAMPBELL

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_WBG.PHP
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