Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS02 KWNS 301731
SWODY2
SPC AC 301730

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2015

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR SATURDAY FROM
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO INTO PARTS OF TEXAS
SATURDAY NIGHT.

...SYNOPSIS...
SPLIT UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN PREVALENT OVER THE CONUS INTO
SATURDAY. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN THE NORTHERN STREAM WILL AMPLIFY/DIG
SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...WHILE IN THE SOUTHERN
STREAM...AN UPPER LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD OVER NORTHWEST
MEXICO/ADJACENT SOUTHWEST STATES.

...SOUTHERN AZ/NM TO SOUTHWEST/CENTRAL TX...
GIVEN THE AFOREMENTIONED SOUTHWEST STATES/NORTHWEST MEXICO UPPER
LOW...GLANCING DPVA/UPPER JET EXIT REGION AND A WEAK CAPE
ENVIRONMENT WILL INFLUENCE SHOWER/SPORADIC THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF AZ/NM DURING THE DAY.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AS FAR EAST AS PARTS OF
SOUTHWEST/CENTRAL TX SATURDAY NIGHT IN ASSOCIATION WITH INCREASING
WARM/MOIST ADVECTION AND THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES THAT ARE AT LEAST
MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

..GUYER.. 01/30/2015



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