Tropical Cyclone Discussion
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000
WTPZ43 KNHC 271444
TCDEP3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GEORGETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082016
800 AM PDT WED JUL 27 2016

Georgette has been devoid of organized deep convection since about
0100 UTC. The cyclone is currently located over 24.5 deg C SSTs and
moving toward colder water. In addition, Georgette has entrained a
large field of stable stratocumulus clouds, which now completely
encircle the system. Therefore, Georgette is now declared a remnant
low, and this is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. The initial intensity of 30 kt is based on a
0534Z ASCAT-A scatterometer pass that contained one 34-kt wind
vector, and an assumed gradual spin-down of the circulation since
then.

The initial motion estimate is 300/08 kt. A west-northwestward to
westward motion at about the same forward speed is expected during
the next couple of days while the low continues to weaken.
Dissipation is forecast to occur by 72 hours.

Even though Georgette is no longer a tropical cyclone, recent
altimeter data indicated that an area of seas higher than 12 ft
still existed near the system.  For additional information, please
see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under
AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN02 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  27/1500Z 19.5N 129.7W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  28/0000Z 20.1N 130.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  28/1200Z 20.8N 132.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  29/0000Z 21.1N 134.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  29/1200Z 21.0N 137.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  30/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Stewart




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