Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FXUS61 KCTP 271602
AFDCTP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1102 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
THE STRONG STORM OFF THE COAST WILL MOVE NORTH AND EAST AWAY FROM
THE REGION ON TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION FOR
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...FOLLOWED BY AN ALBERTA CLIPPER WHICH WILL
CROSS THE AREA THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. COLD HIGH PRESSURE
WILL FOLLOW ONCE AGAIN FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
LONG LIVED DEFORMATION ZONE WHICH ADDED ANOTHER 3-5 INCHES OVER
THE PAST 24 HOURS TO WESTERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS IS NOW
PROPOGATING WSW...CAUGHT UP IN THE DOMINANT CIRCULATION AROUND THE
DEEP SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND BLIZZARD. ADDITIONAL DEFORMATION
SNOWBANDS ARE BRUSHING SCHUYLKILL AND LEBANON COUNTIES...AND NE
WIND GUSTS ARE SLOWLY INCREASING...WHICH IS CREATING SOME BLOWING
SNOW.

ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMS WILL BE LIGHT...BUT INCREASING BLOWING AND
LOCAL DRIFTING OF SNOW WILL BE AN ISSUE ON EXPOSED ROADWAYS NEAR
OPEN FIELDS IN PARTICULAR THROUGH TONIGHT. WILL HOLD HIGH CHC
POPS IN THE FAR ERN CWA AND OVER THE WEST CENTRAL MTNS AND LAUREL
HIGHLANDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
ONLY FLURRIES WILL BE LEFT TO START THE SHORT TERM PD...AND
GENERALLY OVER THE WESTERN HIGHLANDS. CLEARING IS LIKELY TO WORK
IN LATE IN THE DAY AS DRY AIR WRAP AROUND AND CUTS IN FROM THE N.
WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT 10 TO 20 WITH 25 TO 30MPH GUSTS COMMON IN
THE EAST. COLD TEMPS IN STORE TODAY WITH COLDER DRY AIR
INFILTRATING. HIGH PRESSURE MOVES DOWN FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND BACKS THE WINDS...ALL WHILE CLEARING
CONTINUES. EXPECT SOME SINGLE DIGIT LOWS IN THE NRN TIER
TONIGHT...AND TEENS ELSEWHERE. MAXES ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY
MILDER THAN TODAY IN THE N BUT COOLER IN THE S.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
WED NIGHT...BASED ON 12Z MODEL RUNS AND THAT WITH MAINLY CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...EXPECT TEMPS TO DROP...WITH FRESH SNOW
COVER.

NEXT SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME SNOW SHOWERS TO THE AREA LATER THU
INTO FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM NOT LOOKING LIKE IT WOULD RESULT IN
A COASTAL REAL NEAR THE COAST.

COLDER AIR FOR FRIDAY NIGHT.

WEEKEND NOT LOOKING TOO BAD...COLDER AIR WILL TRY TO BUILD IN
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
OVERALL...CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY IMPROVE ACROSS
CENTRAL PA AS INVERTED TROUGH OVERHEAD SLIDES SLOWLY TO THE EAST.
GENERALLY LIGHT SNOW NOW CONFINED MAINLY TO THE WESTERN PORTION
OF CWA AS DRIER AIR SLOWLY WORKS IN FROM THE NE. REDUCTIONS WILL
CONTINUE FROM KFIG WESTWARD FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS BEFORE SNOW
GRADUALLY WANES. THE RESULT WILL BE MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS PERSISTING
IN THE WESTERN HIGHER TERRAIN...WHILE IMPROVING CONDITIONS BRING
VFR TO THE EAST BY MID MORNING. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 10-15 MPH DURING THE DAY AS N/NW FLOW INCREASES.

OUTLOOK...

WED...VFR WITH NO SIG WEATHER EXPECTED.

THU...VFR TO START...WITH LATE DAY RESTRICTIONS SPREADING IN FROM
THE WEST.

THU NIGHT-FRI...WIDESPREAD IFR/MVFR IN SNOW.

SAT...MAINLY VFR.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...DANGELO
NEAR TERM...DEVOIR
SHORT TERM...DANGELO
LONG TERM...MARTIN
AVIATION...RXR



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