Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA

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000
FXUS66 KHNX 010959
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
259 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS... DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK AS ONSHORE FLOW PREVAILS. GUSTY
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERT EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
CLEAR AND DRY TONIGHT ACROSS THE DISTRICT. A WEAK DISTURBANCE OFF
THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST WILL MOVE NE BRINGING HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS TO THE KERN COUNTY AREA THIS AFTERNOON THEN INTO THE CENTRAL
VALLEY TONIGHT. EXPECT A SLIGHT RISE IN TEMPERATURES TODAY BEFORE
THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM PUSHES S OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. A
LEADING SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH OREGON INCREASING THE ONSHORE
FLOW ACROSS NORTH CA. THIS WILL USHER IN A COOL AND BREEZY TREND
ACROSS CENTRAL CA WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVES WILL FOLLOW
EACH DAY DEEPENING A LONG WAVE TROUGH ACROSS CALIFORNIA. SURGES OF
COOLER AIR WITH EACH WAVE WILL BRING BREEZY GUSTY WINDS ESPECAILLY
THROUGH THE MOUNTAIN PASSES ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY AND BELOW THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAIN PASSES EACH AFTERNOON
AND EVENING WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WILL LAST SEVERAL DAY INTO THE WEEKEND. THE TROUGH FINALLY MOVES
EAST OF THE SIERRA SATURDAY NIGHT ALLOWING A WARMING TREND FOR
NEXT WEEK. LITTLE THREAT OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE WEEK AS MODELS
DO NOT PROG DEEP MOISTURE REACHING CENTRAL CA AND MAINTAIN MONSOON
MOISTURE EAST OF THE COLORADO RIVER. WARM A DRY TREND FOR THE
START OF NEXT WEEK WITH MODELS FORECASTING A SURFACE HIGH OVER THE
GREAT BASIN PROVIDING AN OFFSHORE FLOW AND A BUILDING RIDGE ALOFT
EXTENDING INTO CA FROM THE DESERT SW.

&&

.AVIATION...
AREAS OF MVFR AND LOCAL IFR VISIBILITIES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA DUE TO
SMOKE. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 09-01      107:1888     73:1964     76:2007     51:1964
KFAT 09-02      108:1955     76:2000     77:1998     48:1964
KFAT 09-03      111:1955     71:1912     77:2003     52:1964

KBFL 09-01      107:1902     74:1964     79:2007     53:1901
KBFL 09-02      110:1955     74:1910     78:1998     50:1913
KBFL 09-03      112:1955     78:1985     78:1998     50:1913
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...MV
AVN/FW...DUDLEY
PREV DISCUSSION...SANGER
SYNOPSIS...ROWE

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD


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