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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA

000
FXUS66 KHNX 172119
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
219 PM PDT MON JUN 17 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. MAINLY SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE
REST OF THE WEEK...ALTHOUGH A BIT COOLER BY MID-WEEK. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND. DRY WEATHER WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVING INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AS THE PARENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
SPINS OUT NEAR 45N/132W. SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS HAVE INCREASED
AND WINDS WILL BE RESPONDING LIKEWISE. THE CURRENT WIND ADVISORY
KICKS IN AT 500 PM FOR THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERT AREAS
AND BASED ON LATEST MODEL DATA, THE DURATION SHOULD CONTINUE
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WITH THE TROUGH LOWERING HEIGHTS AND
INCREASING THE COOLER MARINE INFLUENCED AIR INTO THE REGION,
TEMPERATURES WILL LOWER FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

FORECAST MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN SLOWLY MOVING THE ABOVE
MENTIONED LOW PRESSURE CENTER INTO OREGON AND WASHINGTON TOMORROW
AND WEDNESDAY AND THEN LINGER THE SYSTEM OVER IDAHO AND MONTANA
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. MEANWHILE, HEIGHTS DO BEGIN TO RISE OVER
CALIFORNIA AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EDGES IN TOWARDS THE COAST.
THE APEX OF THE RIDGE IS PROGGED TO REACH CENTRAL CALIFORNIA ON
SATURDAY WITH A SLOW EASTWARD MOVEMENT ON SUNDAY. THE WARMEST
TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR OVER THE WEEKEND HOWEVER THIS TIME NO
RECORDS WILL BE REALIZED...RATHER JUST A TYPICAL SUMMER WARM UP.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR. LOCAL WIND GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS ALONG THE BASE OF THE
TEHACHAPI MTNS IN THE KERN COUNTY PART OF THE MOJAVE DESERT.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 06-17      109:2012     68:1909     77:2012     49:1939
KFAT 06-18      106:1945     71:1909     73:2012     50:1908
KFAT 06-19      106:1962     72:1897     75:1918     51:1893

KBFL 06-17      109:1961     77:2005     79:1982     44:1913
KBFL 06-18      106:1945     77:2005     75:1982     42:1913
KBFL 06-19      107:1947     75:1923     75:1988     43:1913
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 AM PDT TUESDAY
CAZ098-099.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...DUDLEY
AVN/FW...DCH
SYNOPSIS...ANDERSEN

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD