Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 281935
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
235 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
TONIGHT AND SAT...HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE STATE WILL STEADILY
MOVE TO THE COASTAL CAROLINAS BY SAT AFTN. LOCAL WINDS WILL RESPOND
BY VEERING ONSHORE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST THIS EVENING AND THEN
AREAWIDE AFTER DAYTIME HEATING/MIXING OCCURS ON SATURDAY. OVERNIGHT
LOWS WL SHOW A COASTAL VS INLAND GRADIENT DUE TO DEVELOPMENT OF
DRAINAGE CONDS ALONG WITH A BACKED FLOW INLAND. COASTAL TEMP WL
BE MODERATED ADDITIONALLY BY SOME CLOUD COVER. SATURDAY WL BE A
PLEASANT DAY WITH MILDER TEMPS RISING INTO THE LOWER TO MID 70S
UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

SUN...RIDGE AXIS NORTH OF FLORIDA WILL PRODUCE EASTERLY FLOW ACROSS
THE REGION. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO MODERATE TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. ONSHORE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE
MOISTURE IN THE LOW LEVELS BUT STILL LOOKS TOO SHALLOW TO INTRODUCE
ANY RAIN CHANCES FOR ONSHORE MOVING SHOWERS.

MON-THU...ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST AND GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AS RIDGE
EXTENDING NORTH OF THE AREA IS REINFORCED BY STRONGER HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING TOWARD THE EASTERN SEABOARD. ANY RAINFALL WILL MAINLY BE
LIMITED TO ISOLATED ONSHORE MOVING SHOWERS THAT MOVE ONTO THE COAST
AND WEAKEN AS THEY MOVE INLAND. HIGHS EACH DAY WILL REMAIN NEAR TO A
FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN THE MID-UPPER 70S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE LOW 60S INTERIOR TO MID-UPPER 60S
ALONG THE COAST.
&&

.AVIATION...
SFC GUSTS 15 TO 20KT MNLY ALONG THE CST WL ABATE TO MORE STEADY
WIND AROUND 8-10KT AFT 23Z. OTHERWISE VFR CONDS NEXT 24H WITH NO
CIGS FORECAST. SOME SCT MARINE BASES NR FL 035-040FT MNLY ALNG THE
CST THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.


&&

.MARINE...
TONIGHT AND SAT...GRADIENT ASCD WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE
REGION WL PRODUCE BREEZY CONDS OVER THE OPEN WATERS THIS EVENING.
COUNTERING FLOW AND CHOPPY GULF STREAM CONDS REQUIRE HEADLINE
CONTINUATION OVER THE OPEN WATERS WELL BEYOND THE CST AS WELL AS THE
NEARSHORE WATERS DUE MAINLY TO GULFSTREAM CONDS NEARSHORE SOUTH OF
SEBASTIAN INLET.

DECREASING WINDS BY EARLY SATURDAY AND ONWARD...HOWEVER MAY
REQUIRE CAUTION STMT FOR A PORTION OF THE WATERS DUE TO 5-6 FT
SEAS AT LEAST ON SAT MORNING.

SUN-WED...WINDS GENERALLY REMAIN OUT OF THE EAST...INCREASING UP TO
15-20 KNOTS AT TIMES OFFSHORE AS GRADIENT TIGHTENS FROM REINFORCING
RIDGE TO THE NORTH. SEAS INCREASE FROM 3-5 FEET SUN GRADUALLY UP TO
7-8 FEET OFFSHORE INTO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK FROM ELEVATED ONSHORE
WINDS AND A LONG EASTERLY FETCH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  46  69  53  76 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  45  72  53  78 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  49  71  58  77 /   0   0  10  10
VRB  51  73  58  77 /   0   0  10  10
LEE  42  70  51  77 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  44  71  53  78 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  47  71  55  78 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  51  74  58  77 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL
     WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET
     OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
     FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM
     FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO
     60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO
     SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...PENDERGRAST
LONG TERM....WEITLICH




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