Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 280250
AFDMLB

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
951 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE EXPECTED SATURATION OF THE NEAR SURFACE PARCEL OCCURRED RATHER
EARLY ALONG PORTIONS OF THE TREASURE COAST WHERE LOCAL VSBYS HAVE
DROPPED TO LESS THAN HALF A MILE IN SOME SPOTS.

POSSIBILITY OF LOCALLY DENSE FOG WL HAVE TO BE MONITORED ACROSS AREA
AS PRESENCE OF VERY LIGHT TO CALM WINDS ALONG WITH AMPLE LL MOISTURE
SHOULD LEAD TO ADTL FOG POTENTIAL OVERNIGHT. MAV MOS GUID NO`S ARE
INDICATING ONSET OF LOWER CIGS AOB 1K FT BY THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUING TO DEGRADE THROUGH DAYBREAK
SUNDAY.

DEPENDING ON THE LIKELIHOOD OF LOW SFC VSBYS VS DEGREE OF LOW
OVERCAST WL HAVE TO RESERVE A CHC OF A DENSE FOG ADVISORY AT SOME
POINT LATE TONIGHT FOR A PORTION OF THE AREA. MILD OVERNIGHT TEMPS
CAN BE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN WITH TEMPS UNIFORMLY IN THE LWR TO MID
60S.

SUN...CONSIDERABLE LOWER CLOUDS AND AREAS OF FOG EARLY BEGIN TO
BREAK BY MID-MORNING WITH A CONTINUATION OF CLEARING DURING THE
REST OF THE DAY. AIRMASS DRYING AS SFC RIDGE EXERTS MORE INFLUENCE
ACROSS AREA WL ALLOW TEMPS TO RECOVER INTO THE LWR 80S OVER MOST
AREAS ASIDE FROM THE BEACHES AND IMMEDIATE COAST WHERE COOLER
WATER TEMPS AND ONSHORE BREEZE TEMPER THE AIRMASS.

&&

.AVIATION...
LOW LAYERED CLOUDS WITH NMRS CIGS AOB FL012 WITH 2-4SM BR EXPECTED
AFT 28/04Z...FM 28/04Z-28/13Z NMRS 1-2SM BR WITH AREAS VSBY BLO
1/2SM IN FG AND CIGS AOB FL008...FM 28/13Z-28/15Z BECMG SCT-
BKN015-020 WITH VSBY 3-5SM BR...AFT 28/15Z PREVAILING VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
WV GUID CONTINUES TO BRING DISTANT SOURCE SWELL WITH PDS NR 16+ SEC
INTO THE ECFL WATERS OVERNIGHT. WV HGHTS AND SWELL INFO AT TEH BUOYS
SHOW INITIAL ARRIVAL WITH COMBINED SEAS (MAINLY IN SWELL) AROUND 3
FT THIS EVENING AND RISING ABOUT A FOOT TO TWO FEET BY SUNDAY
MORNING. DUE TO LONG PERIOD OF WV SOURCE HEADLINES WL NOT BE
REQUIRED...ALTHOUGH WV HGHTS ESPECIALLY OFFSHORE NR 5 FT WL OCCUR
DURING SUNDAY.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

$$

JP/PB




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