Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
FXUS62 KMLB 240145
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
945 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017
Current-Overnight...Should continue to see a diminishing trend for
showers from KMLB south through the night with greatest chances
continuing along the Treasure Coast. The 00Z KXMR sounding has come
in with a PWAT of 1.07 inches which represents a drying trend,
especially northward. Surface high pressure along the eastern
seaboard will drift into the western Atlc overnight with a gradual
lessening of the pressure gradient as winds continue to slowly
decrease. Wind speeds will remain strongest along the east coast
with directional component across ECFL ranging from ENE to NE.
Winds above the surface will also remain a bit elevated continuing
to keep the airmass mixed enough to keep overnight lows generally in
the 60s. Cooler locations across the interior may realize U50s.
A High Surf Advisory remains in effect until 5AM Fri morning for
large breaking waves and possible minor erosion along the coast.
Fri...Surface high pressure continues to drift further into the
western Atlc with easterly winds and pgrad tight enough to keep near
breezy/breezy winds in the forecast. Generally considerable
cloudiness with the deeper onshore flow/marine influence and a few
low-topped showers over the coastal waters occasionally moving onto
the coast and further inland. Will keep PoPs at 20 percent or less
across the coverage warning area. Highs will average in the 70s to
around 80 degrees (interior).
.AVIATION...Few showers mainly KMLB southward overnight. There will
be periods of FL035-045, especially KMLB southward. Gusty ERLY winds
on Fri. Only a small threat for a few light showers/sprinkles on Fri.
.MARINE...Overnight-Fri...High pressure along the eastern seaboard
and north FL will slowly drift into the western Atlc over the next
24hrs. Hazardous small craft boating conditions (winds/seas)
continue for all marine legs through the period. Gusty ENE/E winds
20-25 kts. Seas building 7-9FT nearshore and 8-11FT offshore,
subsiding to 6-8FT nearshore and 8-10FT offshore by late Fri aftn.
FL...High Surf Advisory until 5 AM EDT Friday for Coastal Volusia
County-Indian River-Martin-Northern Brevard County-Southern Brevard
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Saturday for Flagler Beach
to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to
Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to
Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-
60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20
nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.