Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 051100

600 AM CDT SAT SEP 5 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 0254 AM CDT SAT SEP 05 2015

The upper level ridge over the region will continue the summer
like weather across the Ozarks today and through tonight. In all,
the Labor Day weekend looks to remain warm and humid with highs
around 90 degrees today and overnight lows remaining in the lower
70s for most of the area.

A few isolated showers or even a rumble of thunder will again be
possible but will be the exception rather than the rule for today
during the peak heating hours this afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 0254 AM CDT SAT SEP 05 2015

Warm and humid conditions will continue through most of the Labor
Day weekend with highs Sunday and into Monday remaining around the
90 degree mark.

An upper level trough remains indicated by the models to begin to
flatten the upper level ridge over the region through Sunday and
into Monday. This will allow an advertised cold front to push into
the Ozarks late Sunday night into Monday morning. This will bring
a bit more active rain and storm pattern to the region.

The overall upper level pattern will become more zonal as a
result of the upper level trough. This will allow for the frontal
boundary to stall and hang out over the region for much of next
week with showers and storms possible through Wednesday night into
early Thursday.

A cooler and drier airmass will then move over the region once the
frontal boundary finally shifts southeast of the area late in the
week. This will bring a bit more fall like weather to the area for
Friday and next weekend with highs in the 70s and overnight lows
possibly touching the upper 40s.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday Morning)
Issued at 0556 AM CDT SAT SEP 05 2015

VFR conditions are expected to persist through tonight with mostly
clear skies. There is a slight chance for a shower or thunderstorm
across southern Missouri this afternoon, but chances appear too
low to include a mention in the Branson TAF at this time. Surface
winds will continue out of the south to southeast and may approach
12 knots later this morning.




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