Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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000
FNUS22 KWNS 300733
FWDDY2

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0232 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

...SYNOPSIS...
RIDGING ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE WEST AS IT SLOWLY
PROGRESSES EWD. IN ITS WAKE...A SHARP SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PUSH
ONSHORE THE CA COAST. ACROSS THE ERN CONUS...SEVERAL IMPULSES WILL
MAINTAIN A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE MS/OH VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES
REGIONS. THE RESULTANT SFC PATTERN WILL FEATURE WEAKENING LOW
PRESSURE TRANSITING FROM THE MIDWEST TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST. LEE
TROUGHING WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE CNTRL/NRN HIGH PLAINS...WHILE LOW
PRESSURE ALSO EXTENDS FROM THE CO RIVER VALLEY TO THE PAC NW.

SWLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE WRN GREAT BASIN AND SURROUNDING AREA WILL
STRENGTHEN FURTHER FROM THE PREVIOUS DAY...ENHANCING WINDS OVER MUCH
OF THE REGION /UP TO 20-30 MPH SUSTAINED/. MOREOVER...RH VALUES WILL
ONCE AGAIN FALL BELOW 10 PERCENT IN MANY LOCATIONS...AS HOT
CONDITIONS DEVELOP WITH DEEP DIURNAL MIXING/INCREASING TEMPS ALOFT.
HOWEVER...THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR CRITICAL METEOROLOGICAL
CONDITIONS /S-CNTRL NV/ WILL LIKELY STILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY
GENERALLY UNRECEPTIVE FUELS. FARTHER S/E /I.E. PORTIONS OF AZ/ WHERE
FUELS ARE SOMEWHAT DRIER...WINDS WILL BE WEAKER...OWING TO THE AREA
BEING FARTHER REMOVED FROM THE CORE OF STRONGEST WINDS ALOFT. THE
END RESULT IS THAT NO DELINEATION WILL BE INTRODUCED WITH THE
CURRENT FORECAST. HOWEVER...IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES REGARDING
STRONGER WINDS FARTHER SOUTH AND/OR DRIER FUELS FARTHER NORTH...AN
ELEVATED DELINEATION COULD BECOME NECESSARY.

..PICCA.. 05/30/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...



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