Marine Interpretation Message
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000
AGNT40 KWNM 270737
MIMATN

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR N ATLANTIC OCEAN
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
237 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2015

.FORECAST DISCUSSION: MAJOR FEATURES/WINDS/SEAS/SIGNIFICANT
.WEATHER FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN W OF 50W FROM 30N TO 50N.

SUMMARY...DVLPG LOW PRES CNTRD NEAR 38N 72W WILL PASS NE ACROSS
THE NRN NT2 WTRS EARLY TODAY...WHILE INTENSIFYING AND PULLING A
COLD FRONT E ACROSS THE NT2 AREA. THIS STG LOW WILL DRIFT NE
ACROSS THE NT1 AREA LATER TODAY AND TONITE...THEN MOVE OFF TO NE
WED INTO WED NITE...WHILE PULLING A SERIES OF TROFS SE ACROSS THE
NRN NT1 WTRS. A HI PRES RIDGE WILL BUILD TO THE COAST WED
NITE...THEN PASS E ACROSS THE OFSHR WTRS THU INTO THU NIGHT WHILE
WKNG. ANOTHER DVLPG LOW WILL PASS E ACROSS THE NT1 AREA FRI INTO
FRI NITE...THEN MOVE OFF TO THE NE SAT AND SAT NITE AS A STG LOW.
THE LOW WILL PULL ANOTHER COLD FRONT E AND SE OVER THE OFSHR WTRS
LATE THU NITE INTO FRI NITE. ANOTHER RIDGE WILL BUILD OFSHR SAT
AND SAT NITE.

MODELS...THE 00Z MED RNG MDLS ARE IN GUD OVERALL AGREEMNT ACROSS
THE OFSHR WTRS DURING THE FCST PRD...EXCEPT THE 00Z ECWMF IS A
BIT SLOWER WITH THE FIRST DVLPG LOW FOR THE TONITE THRU WED NITE
TIMEFRAME...AND THE 00Z GFS IS SOMEWHAT FASTER WITH THE SECOND
DVLPG LOW DURING THE FRI THRU SAT NITE PRD. THE GFS HAS SHOWN VRY
GUD RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY...AND 00Z GFS 30M LOOKS REPRESENTATIVE
ENUF TO BE USED FOR THE WIND GRIDS THRU FRI. WILL USE THE 00Z
ECMWF WITH BOOSTED WINDS FOR FRI NITE THRU SAT NITE.

.SEAS...THE HIGHER 00Z ECMWF WAM INITIALIZED BETTER THAN THE MORE
CONSERVATIVE 00Z MULTIGRID WW3 MDL OVER THE OFSHR WTRS. THE ECMWF
WAM IS ALSO SIGNIF HIGHER THAN THE MWW3 OVER THE NRN NT2 AND GLF
OF MAINE WTRS FOR TODAY AND TONITE...THEN AGAIN ACROSS MOST OF THE
OFSHR ZONES FOR THE FRI NITE THRU SAT NITE PRD. WILL USE A 50/50
BLEND OF THE TWO MDLS TO POPULATE THE SEA HT GRIDS THRU THE FCST
PRD.

.EXTRATROPICAL STORM SURGE GUIDANCE...FOR TONITE INTO TUE IN THE
STG E NE PRES GRDNT FCST N OF A DVLPG STORM...BOTH THE ESTOFS AND
ETSS REMAIN CONSISTENT IN FCSTG VRY SIGNIF POS SURGE VALUES IN THE
3.5 TO 4.5 FT RNG TO DVLP ALONG THE COAST FM NEW JERSEY INTO THE
SW GULF OF MAINE.WOULD FAVOR THE SLIGHTLY HIGHER ESTOFS VS THE
ETSS FOR THIS SURGE EVENT.

.WARNINGS...PRELIMINARY.

.NT1 NEW ENGLAND WATERS...
.ANZ800...GULF OF MAINE...
     STORM EARLY TODAY INTO WED.
     GALE POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT NIGHT.
.ANZ805...GEORGES BANK WEST OF 68W...
     STORM EARLY TODAY INTO WED.
     GALE POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT NIGHT.
.ANZ900...GEORGES BANK EAST OF 68W...
     STORM EARLY TODAY INTO WED.
     GALE POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT NIGHT.
.ANZ810...SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND...
     STORM EARLY TODAY INTO TONIGHT.
     GALE POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT NIGHT.
.ANZ815...SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND...
     STORM EARLY TODAY INTO TODAY.
     GALE TONIGHT.
     GALE POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT NIGHT.

.NT2 MID ATLC WATERS...
.ANZ820...HUDSON CANYON TO BALTIMORE CANYON...
     STORM EARLY TODAY INTO TODAY.
     GALE POSSIBLE FRI INTO SAT NIGHT.
.ANZ915...HUDSON CANYON TO THE GREAT SOUTH CHANNEL...
     STORM EARLY TODAY INTO TONIGHT.
     GALE POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT NIGHT.
.ANZ920...BALTIMORE CANYON TO THE GREAT SOUTH CHANNEL...
     STORM EARLY TODAY INTO TODAY.
     GALE TONIGHT.
     GALE POSSIBLE FRI INTO SAT NIGHT.
.ANZ905...THE GREAT SOUTH CHANNEL TO THE HAGUE LINE...
     STORM EARLY TODAY.
     GALE TODAY.
     STORM TONIGHT.
     GALE WED.
     GALE POSSIBLE FRI INTO SAT NIGHT.
.ANZ910...EAST OF THE GREAT SOUTH CHANNEL AND SOUTH OF 39N...
     GALE EARLY TODAY INTO TONIGHT.
     GALE POSSIBLE FRI INTO SAT NIGHT.
.ANZ825...INNER WATERS FROM BALTIMORE CANYON TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT...
     GALE EARLY TODAY INTO TODAY.
     GALE POSSIBLE FRI INTO SAT.
.ANZ828...INNER WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT...
     GALE EARLY TODAY INTO TODAY.
     GALE POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT.
.ANZ925...OUTER WATERS FROM BALTIMORE CANYON TO HATTERAS CANYON...
     GALE EARLY TODAY INTO TODAY.
     GALE POSSIBLE FRI INTO SAT NIGHT.
.ANZ830...INNER WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO CAPE HATTERAS...
     GALE TODAY.
     GALE POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT.
.ANZ930...OUTER WATERS FROM HATTERAS CANYON TO CAPE FEAR...
     GALE TODAY.
     GALE POSSIBLE FRI NIGHT.
.ANZ935...OUTER WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR TO 31N...
     GALE EARLY TODAY INTO TODAY.

$$

.FORECASTER SCOVIL. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.



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