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000
FXUS64 KAMA 242117
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
417 PM CDT Mon Jul 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Noteworthy items for the forecast continue to be
showers/thunderstorm chances with Tuesday/Tuesday night the only
real widespread dry period as far as chances go. We currently
have 15-20 percent chances for the afternoon on Tuesday and dry
that night, but outside of this every period has at least slight
chances for rainfall. Overall, temperatures will be right "around"
normal to perhaps even slightly below normal in some areas
through the extended.

At 20Z, satellite shows developing CU across the forecast area with
several diurnally driven showers/thunderstorms across the forecast
area, mainly in the Texas Panhandle. Pulsing nature in the storms
has already been noted and will likely continue through daytime
heating. Storms are not expected to last near/after sunset. With
little shear to work with these storms are basically collapsing
themselves as the updraft forms. Severe weather is not expected,
but certainly very localized moderate to heavy rainfall will be
possible with the slow moving nature of the storms, as well as
possible gusty winds around 40-50 mph when they collapse.

Moving into the rest of the forecast, several chances for
thunderstorms exist basically each period through Sunday. Severe
weather still doesn`t look likely, especially in the near term. We
would need a pattern change and that just doesn`t look likely. Any
storms that form will have little shear to work with and will
likely be pulse storms and diurnally driven, which makes sense for
this time of year.

Guerrero

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                70  95  71  96  70 /  20  10   5  10  30
Beaver OK                  74 100  76  97  71 /  10  20   5  30  40
Boise City OK              68  95  69  89  65 /  10  20  10  40  50
Borger TX                  72  99  76  97  73 /  10  20   5  20  40
Boys Ranch TX              72  98  73  99  70 /  10  20   5  20  40
Canyon TX                  69  95  70  95  70 /  20  10   5  10  30
Clarendon TX               72  98  72  98  72 /  20  10   5   5  20
Dalhart TX                 68  96  70  93  68 /  10  20  10  30  50
Guymon OK                  71  99  74  95  69 /  10  20  10  30  50
Hereford TX                69  95  70  95  69 /  20  10   5  10  30
Lipscomb TX                73 100  76  97  73 /  10  20   5  20  40
Pampa TX                   71  97  73  99  71 /  10  20   5  10  30
Shamrock TX                72  99  74  99  75 /  20  20   5   5  20
Wellington TX              73 101  74 101  75 /  20  20   5   5  10

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

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