Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 302213
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
513 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated storms are expected this evening, mainly affecting NW
sections of the combined Panhandles. Though speed shear is very weak,
modest directional shear could allow for some storm organization and
consequently a few storms could become briefly strong or severe this
evening though widespread severe weather is not expected.

Northwest flow aloft has provided many nights such as last night
with widespread high terrain convection making it into the area. In
fact, it has rained somewhere in the Panhandles every day for past
week and half. However, the upper flow pattern looks to change a bit
as flat ridging encompasses the southern half of the CONUS. The
biggest change to sensible weather will be a slight decrease in the
coverage of evening thunderstorms the next several days. As is common
this time of year, northwest sections of the CWA will have the best
chances for convection and eastern areas the lowest chances.

Temperatures will return to the mid to upper 90s after our brief
reprieve of highs "only" in the low to mid 90s.

Simpson
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                70  96  70  97  72 /  10   5   5  10  20
Beaver OK                  70  99  72 100  73 /  10   5   5  10  20
Boise City OK              66  96  67  96  68 /  20  10  10  20  30
Borger TX                  72  99  72 100  74 /  10   5   5  10  20
Boys Ranch TX              71  99  71 100  71 /  10  10   5  10  20
Canyon TX                  68  95  70  98  70 /  10   5   5  10  20
Clarendon TX               71  96  72  98  73 /  10  10   5  10   5
Dalhart TX                 67  98  69  97  68 /  20  10  10  20  20
Guymon OK                  70  99  71 100  71 /  20   5  10  20  20
Hereford TX                67  96  68  97  69 /  10  10   5  10  20
Lipscomb TX                72  98  72  99  73 /  10   5   5  10  10
Pampa TX                   70  96  72  97  72 /  10   5   5  10  10
Shamrock TX                72  97  72  99  74 /  10   5   5   5   5
Wellington TX              74  99  74 100  74 /  10   5   5   5   5

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

18/9



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