Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Boise, ID

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000
FXUS65 KBOI 280915
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
315 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...FLOW AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO FUNNEL MONSOON MOISTURE INTO THE
REGION. ELEVATED TERRAIN ACROSS SE OREGON /EXCLUDING BAKER
COUNTY/ AND SW IDAHO WILL SEE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY FOR DEVELOPMENT NEAR
THE NV BORDER. EXPECT ENOUGH BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER FOR AREAS
TO HEAT UP TODAY ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN ZONES...WHILE A MORE
PERSISTENT CLOUD SHIELD OVER S-CENTRAL IDAHO WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY COOLER. TONIGHT IS MILD AND DRY UNDER A
BLANKET OF CLOUDS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AGAIN TUESDAY
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH INCREASED COVERAGE ALONG THE ID/NV
BORDER. THIS WILL RESULT IN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM MOVING INTO THE WESTERN MAGIC VALLEY DURING THE
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES ARE COOLER TUESDAY AS CLOUD COVER
INCREASES.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...LITTLE CHANGE IN THE
WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.  SOUTHWEST FLOW ON
THE BACK SIDE OF THE RIDGE WILL BRING MONSOON MOISTURE INTO THE
FORECAST AREA FOR AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF MAINLY DIURNAL SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  BEST CHANCE FOR CONVECTION WILL BE OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN.  MODEL RUNS CONTINUE TO DIFFER ON THE PLACEMENT AND
TIMING OF WEAK SHORT WAVES MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW...BUT AS THEY
MOVE OVER THE FORECAST AREA WILL SEE AN ENHANCEMENT TO THE
CONVECTION.  FIRST WAVE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY WITH THE SECOND WAVE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.  TEMPERATURES
WILL AVERAGE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH SCATTERED TO BROKEN MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING
ALONG THE NEVADA BORDER.  SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE 10 KNOTS
OR LESS.  WINDS ALOFT WILL BE WESTERLY AROUND 10 KNOTS UP THROUGH 10K
FEET MSL.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...DG
LONG TERM....JA
AVIATION.....JA


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