Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 270513
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1213 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...SEE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW FOR THE 06Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...THE UPPER TROF AXIS CURRENTLY MOVG ACROSS S TX...WILL
EXIT THE AREA OVERNIGHT WITH DRIER AIR CONTINUING TO FILTER INTO S
TX. THIS WILL RESULT IN GENERALLY CLR SKIES/VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD. SFC HIGH WILL SLOWLY MOVE E OVERNIGHT/FRIDAY WITH
LIGHT N TO NW WINDS BECOMING SLY BY LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 939 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2015/

DISCUSSION...ATMOSPHERE IS STABILIZING THIS EVENING AND ELEVATED
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DIMINISH. 85KT H25 JET STREAK IS SHIFTING
SOUTH OF THE CWA AND LINE OF SHOWERS FROM VCNTY LAREDO EASTWARD TO
BAFFIN BAY LIKELY MARKS LEADING EDGE OF SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER H85
AIRMASS BUILDING IN FROM THE NORTH. HOWEVER...H5 TROUGH AXIS IS
JUST NOW ENTERING NW COUNTIES AND THUS AN ISOLATED SHOWER WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN 1/4 OF THE CWA THROUGH LATE
EVENING /UNTIL DRIER AIR THEN SPREADS FARTHER S AND MID LEVEL
TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS OVERHEAD/. ONLY SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST
WAS TO MAINTAIN SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP THROUGH LATE EVENING
ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS. ALSO MADE SOME MINOR EDITS TO WIND
FORECAST. WHILE WIND SPEEDS OVER MOST LAND AREAS ARE CURRENTLY
RATHER LIGHT...VALUES ALONG THE COAST MAY INCREASE FOR A PERIOD
LATE THIS EVENING AND PEAK EARLY MORNING AS SMALL CORE OF
NORTHERLY 30 TO 35 KT WINDS AT 925MB DEVELOPS ALONG THE COAST.
HAVE MAINTAINED SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE NEAR AND OFFSHORE
WATERS WITH WIND SPEEDS EXPECTED TO PEAK AROUND MIDNIGHT/EARLY
MORNING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    48  77  54  78  60  /  10   0   0   0   0
VICTORIA          46  77  49  78  57  /   0   0   0   0   0
LAREDO            51  79  53  85  59  /  10   0   0   0   0
ALICE             48  79  50  82  57  /  10   0   0   0   0
ROCKPORT          51  73  55  75  64  /  10   0   0   0   0
COTULLA           47  79  51  83  56  /   0   0   0   0   0
KINGSVILLE        47  79  50  81  59  /  10   0   0   0   0
NAVY CORPUS       53  75  58  75  64  /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT
     20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP
     CHANNEL OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

TE/81...AVIATION




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