Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 050231
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
931 PM EST Sun Dec 4 2016

.UPDATE...

Warm and moist southerly flow will make for a mild night with
increasing cloud cover across northeast Florida and wet conditions
across portions of southeast Georgia after midnight. The main
updates were to raise min temps a couple of degrees and to
increase rain chances across the northwestern areas of southeast
Georgia. Rain will spread east into southeast Georgia after
midnight along a broad warm front that has stalled near the
Altamaha river basin. Light rain will continue across portions of
southeast Georgia Monday morning. Widespread rain with embedded
thunderstorm activity will then overspread northeast Florida from
the southwest Monday afternoon.

&&

.AVIATION...

Low clouds will develop across northeast Florida overnight.
Ceilings should initially be VFR, but may occasionally lower to
MVFR towards sunrise and through Monday morning. Widespread low
MVFR ceilings are anticipated monday afternoon as widespread rain
and embedded storms spread in from the southwest. Brief IFR
conditions cannot be ruled out in some of the heavier rain showers
or thunderstorms. May need to add some thunderstorm wording in the
next couple of TAF packages.

&&

.MARINE...

A warm front will remain nearly stationary just north of the area
waters tonight. Winds will gradually veer from the southeast to
the southwest overnight. We have added an SCEC headline for the
outer waters to account for overnight windspeeds of 15 to 20
knots. Southwest winds will subside some on Monday but the front
will slip southward into the southeast Georgia waters Monday
afternoon and rain/storms will spread across the waters from the
west southwest during the afternoon hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  63  72  65  80 /  70  80  80  60
SSI  66  72  67  77 /  20  90  80  70
JAX  66  78  66  81 /  10  90  70  60
SGJ  67  79  65  81 /  10  50  60  50
GNV  65  80  67  81 /  10  70  60  70
OCF  66  80  67  82 /  10  50  60  70

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Shuler/Shashy/



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