Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 310005
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
805 PM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

.UPDATE...Earlier convection that was spawned inland along I-10
between I-95 and I-75 by merging sea breeze boundaries are
starting to dissipate. The decaying thunderstorms have developed
an outflow boundary that is moving north-northwestward into
interior georgia. This outflow boundary may enhance currently
weaker convection near I-75. This convection may move between
georgia state routes 221 and 1 triangulating hazelhurst...douglas
and alma where isolated thunderstorms may occur through the mid to
later part of the evening. Current forecast as well as the HRRR have
this trend depicted.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR will prevail though nocturnal hours over aerodrome
forecast sites. There are some indications of a few possible low
stratus clouds between 06z- 12z Sunday but confidence in any
affects at the TAFs are low attm. Sct cumulus will form by late
Sunday morning with scattered convection expected near and after
18z.

&&

.MARINE...South to southeast winds up to near 15-20 knots again
this evening...becoming offshore and weakening toward sunrise
Sunday. High pressure will build to the southeast of our waters on
Sunday, with southerly winds just below caution speeds expected,
except southeasterly on Sunday afternoon in the near shore waters.
Only isolated thunderstorms, mainly during the late afternoon and
evening hours, are expected through the weekend. Another
southwesterly wind surge will result in caution conditions in the
offshore waters on Sunday night. High pressure will then weaken
during the early to middle portions of next week as a weak trough
sinks southward towards our waters. Thunderstorm coverage will
gradually increase over the coastal waters next week. Evening wind
surges will continue, with seas building up to 3-5 feet offshore
towards midweek.

Rip Currents: Low risk rest of today and Sunday...though some
enhanced risk in the afternoon during low tide and sea breeze.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  74  96  74  94 /  20  50  30  50
SSI  80  92  78  92 /  10  30  10  30
JAX  75  94  75  94 /  20  30  10  30
SGJ  77  92  78  92 /  10  20  10  20
GNV  73  94  74  93 /  20  30  20  30
OCF  74  94  74  94 /  30  30  20  30

&&

.JAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Cordero/Kennedy/Guillet



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