Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS62 KKEY 221830
AFDKEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
235 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
.CURRENTLY...
KBYX DETECTS ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST AREA. SKIES OVER THE ISLAND CHAIN ARE PARTLY CLOUDY. WINDS
OVER LAND ARE EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. C-MAN WINDS...ON
AVERAGE...ARE EAST NEAR 10 KNOTS. TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR 90 DEGREES.

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
AN ATLANTIC RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. THIS RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN
TO RETREAT EASTWARD SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
MEANWHILE...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...CURRENTLY IN THE VICINITY OF
THE MONA PASSAGE...WILL LIKELY STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
OR TROPICAL STORM SATURDAY NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. THIS
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SHOULD TURN TO THE NORTH OVER THE EASTERN
BAHAMAS SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. NO IMPACT IS EXPECTED
IN THE FLORIDA KEYS. LACK OF LARGE SCALE LIFT WILL LIMIT POPS TO
SLIGHT CHANCE CATEGORY THIS WEEKEND.

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
AS THE AFOREMENTIONED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MOVES FARTHER AWAY FROM
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE TYPICAL ATLANTIC RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SUNSHINE STATE NEXT WEEK. THE LONG TERM
PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL BE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY.

&&

.MARINE...
GENTLE EAST BREEZES WILL PREVAIL ON ALL KEYS COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT.
NO ADVISORIES OR CAUTIONARY HEADLINES EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH AT
LEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...
22ND/18Z...VFR WILL PREVAIL AT THE EYW AND MTH TERMINALS. EXPECT
MAINLY EAST-NORTHEASTERLY BREEZES AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS OR LESS.

&&

.CLIMATE...
ON THIS DATE IN KEYS WEATHER HISTORY...IN 1975...1.61 INCHES OF RAIN
WAS RECORDED IN KEY WEST. THIS SET THE DAILY RAINFALL RECORD FOR
AUGUST 22 IN KEY WEST. RAINFALL RECORDS FOR KEY WEST DATE BACK TO
1871.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KEY WEST  83 92 83 92 / 20 20 20 20
MARATHON  81 93 82 93 / 20 20 20 20

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE/DIGITAL...BS
AVIATION/NOWCASTS/CLIMATE....CLR
DATA ACQUISITION.............SC/MP

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