Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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000
FXUS64 KLCH 060359
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
959 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO STEADILY FALL THIS EVENING...WITH SEVERAL
OBS ACROSS CENTRAL LOUISIANA ALREADY AT OR BELOW FREEZING...AND
THOSE ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA NOT FAR
BEHIND. SW TO NE ORIENTED HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
CENTERED TO OUR NW...SO A NORTH BREEZE AND CIRRUS STREAMING
OVERHEAD FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL HELP MODERATE TEMPERATURES A BIT.
STILL ANTICIPATE AN AREAWIDE FREEZE AND A HARD FREEZE FROM THE
EAST TEXAS LAKES INTO CENTRAL AND PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SO THE HAZARDS WERE LEFT AS IS...THOUGH THE END TIME
WAS EXTENDED ANOTHER HOUR SIMPLY TO MATCH THE EXPECTED RISE ABOVE
FREEZING TOMORROW.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 612 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...
EARLY EVENING UPDATE PRIMARILY TO DEAL WITH WIND RELATED HAZARDS.
ALLOWED THE WIND ADVISORY TO EXPIRE AS WIND SPEED ACROSS THE AREA
HAS LARGELY DROPPED BELOW CRITERIA. EXTENDED THE GALE WARNING
THROUGH MID EVENING FOR THE GULF WATERS WITH OBS OF GALE FORCE
GUSTS STILL BEING REPORTED...AND ALSO EXTENDED THE SCA FOR THE
COASTAL LAKES AND BAYS TO MATCH WITH STILL FREQUENT GUSTS GREATER
THAN 20 KT.

13

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 518 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015/

AVIATION UPDATE...REGARDING 00Z TAF ISSUANCE. ALL PRECIP HAS NOW
EXITED THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF OUR LATEST FRONTAL PASSAGE. WINDS
WILL REMAIN MODERATELY STRONG AND SOMEWHAT GUSTY WITH COLD AND DRY
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE SOUTH PLAINS.
MID-LEVEL ALTOCU NOW OVER ACADIANA WILL EXIT EAST THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS.

MARCOTTE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT THIS MORNING BROUGHT REPORTS OF SNOW IN CENTRAL
LOUISIANA AND SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AS FAR SOUTH AS THE I-10
CORRIDOR. TEMPERATURES HAVE STRUGGLED TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 40S THIS AFTERNOON WHILE LFT HAS CONTINUE TO FALL TO
AROUND FREEZING AT THIS TIME. AS EXPECTED TEMPERATURES AROUND
MIDNIGHT THE WARMEST OF THE DAY...70S...HARD TO BELIEVE. STLT
IS INDICATING CLEARING SKIES OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA WITH SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA CLEARING OUT DURING THE
EVENING HOURS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF.

COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
HOURS WITH MID 20 ACROSS CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND AROUND THE LAKES
REGION IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS BY LATE THIS EVENING... AND A HARD
FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN POSTED IN THIS AREA. FREEZING TEMPS AS FAR
SOUTH AS THE COAST... A FREEZE WARNING. IN THE COASTAL WATERS WINDS
AND SEAS FALLING A BIT TONIGHT BUT WILL CONTINUE TO BE GUSTY WITH
SEAS 5 TO 8 FEET OFFSHORE.

TOMORROW WILL SEE TEMPS INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S UNDER
CLEAR SKIES AS WINDS ARE TAPERING OFF THROUGH THE DAY. THIS SLOW
WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND WITH RAINS RETURNING
LATE SATURDAY AND INCREASING INTO SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  28  50  32  59 /   0  10  10  10
KBPT  30  52  35  60 /   0  10  10  10
KAEX  25  48  28  56 /   0  10  10  10
KLFT  26  50  30  59 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY FOR CALCASIEU-EAST CAMERON-
     IBERIA-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LOWER ST. MARTIN-ST. MARY-VERMILION-
     WEST CAMERON.

     HARD FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY FOR ACADIA-ALLEN-
     AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-EVANGELINE-LAFAYETTE-RAPIDES-ST.
     LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERNON.

TX...FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY FOR HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
     SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON.

     HARD FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CST FRIDAY FOR NORTHERN JASPER-
     NORTHERN NEWTON-TYLER.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST FRIDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
     FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS
     FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-COASTAL
     WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA
     OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM
     20 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     LOW WATER ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR CALCASIEU
     LAKE-SABINE LAKE-VERMILION BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
     CALCASIEU LAKE-SABINE LAKE-VERMILION BAY.


&&

$$




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