Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 280240
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
840 PM CST THU NOV 27 2014

.UPDATE...
SURFACE RIDGE SETTLING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT WILL BRING
MAINLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. MEANWHILE...DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE
WITH CLEAR SKIES WILL MAKE FOR A CHILLY NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING
FOR THOSE WHO PARTAKE IN EARLY HOLIDAY SHOPPING. A LIGHT FREEZE
WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE USUAL COLD SPOTS NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 190
CORRIDOR...WITH AT-LEAST PATCHY FROST FOR A GOOD AMOUNT OF THE
NORTHERN ZONES. CURRENT OBSERVATIONS ARE PRETTY MUCH IN LINE WITH
THE FORECAST VALUES. THEREFORE...DO NOT PLAN ON MAKING ANY CHANGES
TO THE ON-GOING FORECAST AND GRIDS AT THIS TIME.

RUA

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 524 PM CST THU NOV 27 2014/

DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 28/00Z TAF ISSUANCE.

AVIATION...
SURFACE RIDGE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT WITH LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES. THE RIDGE WILL MOVE OFF TO THE
EAST ON FRIDAY WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS GRADUALLY RETURNING DURING THE
AFTERNOON. A FEW CLOUDS MAY DEVELOP OVER LOWER SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
LOWER SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...BUT VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

RUA

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 258 PM CST THU NOV 27 2014/

DISCUSSION...
VERY NICE WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE CRESTS OVER THE AREA BEHIND A COOL FRONT LOCATED
OVER THE GULF. TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM THE MID 50S TO THE MID 60S
WITH A DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE.

THE RIDGE AXIS WILL MOVE LITTLE TONIGHT AND WILL ALLOW FOR LIGHT
WINDS AND THUS RAPID COOLING. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO
RANGE THROUGH THE 30S WITH THE COOLEST LOCATIONS ACROSS THE
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THERE WILL LIKELY BE SOME
FROST TONIGHT ALONG AND NORTH OF I-10.

INTO THE WEEKEND...A GOOD WARMING TREND WILL BEING TOMORROW NIGHT
AND CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE RIDGE SHIFTS
OFF TO THE EAST AND LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
WITH A LESS AMPLIFIED PATTERN...THE NEXT FRONT WILL BE SLOW TO
MOVE SOUTH...BUT SHOULD START TO ENTER THE AREA LATE MONDAY
ACCORDING TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS AND THROUGH THE AREA BY
TUESDAY.

AGAIN NOT A VERY AMPLIFIED PATTERN...SO COOLING DOES NOT LOOK TO
BE TOO DRAMATIC BEHIND THE FRONT AND ACTUALLY TEMPERATURES WILL BE
NEAR NORMAL. NEXT BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION COMES MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WITH THE FRONT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  37  64  54  73  60 /   0   0  10  10  10
KBPT  40  66  57  75  61 /   0   0  10  10  10
KAEX  33  63  49  73  56 /   0   0  10  10  10
KLFT  36  64  51  74  59 /   0   0  10  10  10

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$







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