Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
000
FXUS65 KLKN 302343
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
443 PM PDT SUN AUG 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES THROUGH MID-WEEK,
THEN COOLING WELL BELOW NORMAL BY THE END OF THE WEEK WITH A FEW
SHOWERS FAR NORTH.

&&


.AVIATION UPDATE...KWMC METAR OBSERVATIONS HAVE BEEN REPORTING
SOME TS OR LTG DSNT TODAY. THIS IS NOT CORRECT. THERE HAS BEEN NO
LIGHTNING AT OR ANYWHERE CLOSE TO THE TERMINAL...AND THERE IS NONE
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

WEAK INSTABILITY ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA INTO THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS LEADS TO SOME CUMULUS CLOUD BUILD- UPS.
OTHERWISE...SKIES SCATTER OUT INTO THIS EVENING WITH VFR
CONDITIONS THE NEXT 24 PLUS HOURS ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED AT 322 PM /

SYNOPSIS...DRY WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES THROUGH MID-WEEK,
THEN COOLING WELL BELOW NORMAL BY THE END OF THE WEEK WITH A FEW
SHOWERS FAR NORTH.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. WEAK INSTABILITY AND
MARGINAL MOISTURE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL NV COULD PRODUCE ISOLATED
MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. WARMING TEMPS
BEGINNING ON MONDAY AS UPPER RIDGE BEGIN TO REBOUND. A SMIDGEN OF
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL NV
MONDAY AFTERNOON, BUT ONLY EXPECTING SOME CLOUD BUILDUPS AND NO
THUNDERSTORMS. EVEN DRIER ON TUESDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS ON
TUESDAY, ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL NV AS UPPER LOW DROPPING
SOUTHWARD INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TIGHTENS PRESSURE GRADIENTS
ACROSS THE REGION. EXPECTING SOUTHWEST WINDS MOSTLY IN THE 15 TO
25 MPH RANGE.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER
BRITISH COLUMBIA EARLY IN THE WEEK...DRIFTS SOUTH THROUGH WASHINGTON
AND OREGON MID-WEEK...REACHING NORTHERN NEVADA ON FRIDAY. AS THE
TROUGH APPROACHES NEVADA NEXT WEEK LOOK FOR TEMPERATURES TO TREND
COOLER...LIKELY LOWERING INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S MOST AREAS ON
SATURDAY WHICH WOULD BE AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. WIND SPEEDS
AND GUSTS WILL TREND HIGHER NEXT WEEK WITH STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...WHICH MAY RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS AS HUMIDITIES REMAIN LOW EACH AFTERNOON. NOT MUCH IN THE
WAY OF MOISTURE NEXT WEEK...THOUGH NORTHERN HUMBOLDT AND ELKO
COUNTIES MAY SEE SOME LIGHT RAIN NEXT FRIDAY. TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO
EXIT NORTHEAST INTO IDAHO AND MONTANA NEXT SUNDAY...LEAVING COOL AND
DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. WHILE AFTERNOON HIGHS SHOULD BEGIN
TO REBOUND SUNDAY...LOOK FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA
TO LOWER INTO THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S.

AVIATION...WEAK INSTABILITY ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS LEADS TO SOME CUMULUS CLOUD BUILD-UPS.
OTHERWISE...SKIES SCATTER OUT INTO THIS EVENING WITH VFR CONDITIONS
THE NEXT 24 PLUS HOURS ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA.

FIRE WEATHER...A COUPLE OF SITES IN THE NORTHERN PORTION OF FIRE
ZONES 468 AND 469 GUSTING 30 TO 35 MPH WITH RH BELOW 15 PCT THIS
AFTERNOON. EXPECTING THESE CONDITIONS TO REMAIN LOCALIZED WITH
WIND DECREASING RAPIDLY AFTER SUNSET. WEAK INSTABILITY AND
MARGINAL MOISTURE COULD TRIGGER AN ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORM OVER
THE FAR SOUTHERN PORTION OF FIRE ZONE 470, THE SOUTHEAST PORTION
OF 454, AND 455 THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SOME CLOUD BUILDUPS
EXPECTED ACROSS FIRE ZONE 455 MONDAY AFTERNOON, BUT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED. BREEZY CONDITIONS RETURN TUESDAY
AFTERNOON,ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL NV, WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS IN
THE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS NEAR 30 MPH.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

96/96/96



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.