Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 282248 AAA
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...ADDED CLIMATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
348 PM PDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A LITTLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA
SUNDAY AFTERNOON COULD TRIGGER A THUNDERSTORM OVER THE MOUNTAINS. A
COUPLE OF STORM SYSTEMS NEXT WEEK WILL CLIP NORTHERN NEVADA BRINGING
SOME RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WHILE COOLING TEMPERATURES TO NEAR OR
EVEN BELOW NORMAL LEVELS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. A DRY COOL FRONT PUSHING
ACROSS NORTHERN NV THIS AFTERNOON BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE THIS EVENING. WEAK
DEFORMATION ZONE SETTING UP ACROSS CENTRAL NV SUNDAY WITH ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO POSSIBLY TRIGGER A THUNDERSTORM IN THE
AFTERNOON, MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER
THE AREA MONDAY WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES, WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN
THE LOWER TO MID 70S, WITH SOME RECORDS POSSIBLY BROKEN. SHORT
WAVE WILL BRUSH NORTHERN NV TUE WITH A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE NEAR
THE OREGON/IDAHO BORDER. THIS SHORT WAVE WILL BRING STRONG GUSTY
WEST WINDS IN THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH, BUT
SHOULD REMAIN JUST BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY. BOTH GFS AND
ECMWF HAVE A TROUGH AND COLD FRONT PASSING ACROSS THE REGION BY
TUESDAY NIGHT WITH COOLER AIR MOVING IN...BUT LITTLE IF ANY
PRECIP. FAST WEST-SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DOMINATE WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF
THE NEXT TROUGH...KEEPING WEDNESDAY DRY. THAT TROUGH MOVES IN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. GFS AND ECMWF IN REASONABLY GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
TO THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGTH AND THURSDAY SO GENERALLY INCREASED
POPS AND LOWERED HIGH TEMPS ON THURSDAY. SHOWERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WILL PROBABLY BE MOSTLY FRONTAL WHILE ON THURSDAY THEY WILL BECOME
CONVECTIVE AS THE COLD POOL MOVES IN ALOFT. TROUGH SLIDES EAST
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY ALLOWING SUNSHINE TO RETURN AND TEMPS TO
MODERATE. RIDGE MOVES OVERHEAD FRIDAY NIGHT WITH FAST SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT SETTING UP AGAIN SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT TROUGH.
SHOULD STAY MOSTLY DRY FOR THE START OF THE WEEKEND BUT CAN`T
GUARANTEE IT`LL STAY THAT WAY. RCM

&&

.AVIATION...WIND GUSTS INTO THE 20-25 KNOT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON
WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM MAY DEVELOP
IN THE KELY VICINITY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...VFR CIGS AND
VIS NET 24 HOURS. RCM

&&

.CLIMATE...ALTHOUGH THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED
AND MOVED EAST...SOME RECORD HIGHS ARE STILL POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON IN CENTRAL NEVADA. BELOW ARE THE FORECAST AND RECORDS
FOR TODAY. IN ADDITION...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND BACK INTO
THE 70S ON MONDAY...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF MORE RECORDS BEING
BROKEN.

            RECORD   FORECAST   RECORD   FORECAST
AIRPORT    SATURDAY  SATURDAY   MONDAY    MONDAY

ELKO        75/1986     68      76/1966     74
ELY         71/1986     72      72/1966     74
EUREKA      68/1994     70      73/1968     76
TONOPAH     76/1986     74      77/1966     76
WINNEMUCCA  76/1986     65      79/1966     73

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

91/93/93/93


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