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000
FXUS64 KLZK 301709 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1109 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED TO INCLUDE THE 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW...

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MOST IF NOT ALL OF THIS TAF
PERIOD. HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE SEEN...WITH CIGS OVER 12KFT. THESE
WILL GRADUALLY LOWER BY THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD...BUT STILL BE
AT OR ABOVE 8KFT. WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY LIGHT AT LESS THAN
10 KTS.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 529 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT

A LARGE AREA OF CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP ARKANSAS DRY AND
COOL TODAY...WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES IN THE FORECAST.
MEANWHILE...A STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES WILL
START BRINGING SOME CLOUDS INTO THE REGION...ESPECIALLY THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

CLOUDS WILL THICKEN TONIGHT/SATURDAY...WITH SOME RAIN CHANCES IN
WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. RAIN WILL BECOME
WIDESPREAD SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY AS A SURFACE LOW FORMS OVER TEXAS
AND TRACKS THROUGH ARKANSAS.

THIS WILL NOT BE A HUGE RAINMAKER...WITH QUARTER TO THREE QUARTER
INCH AMOUNTS IN THE FORECAST.

THE SURFACE LOW WILL DEPART TO THE NORTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER
BIG CANADIAN HIGH WILL FOLLOW...WITH MORE COLD AIR COMING. WHILE
MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE DECLINE...THERE MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF
LIGHT SNOW IN NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE BEFORE PRECIPITATION
ENDS. NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

THE PERIOD WILL END WITH DECREASING CLOUDS MONDAY...AND CONTINUED
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER MUCH OF THE COUNTRY TO BEGIN
THE PERIOD WITH AN UPPER LOW CENTERED IN MEXICO. THIS UPPER LOW
WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS WEDNESDAY AND TO THE EAST COAST BY
THURSDAY. ZONAL FLOW IS NOTED BRIEFLY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
THEN THE NORTHWEST FLOW RETURNS THURSDAY.

TUESDAY WILL BE DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST. MOISTURE
WILL RETURN TO SOUTHERN ARKANSAS TUESDAY NIGHT AND RAIN CHANCES WILL
INCREASE. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE WEDNESDAY.
THIS WILL HELP TO KEEP THE PRECIPITATION IN THE SOUTH AND CENTRAL
SECTIONS. THE RAIN WILL DISSIPATE IN THE EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THURSDAY WILL BE DRY WITH HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR MOVING INTO
THE STATE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     47  28  46  37 /   0   0  10  70
CAMDEN AR         54  32  53  43 /   0   0  10  70
HARRISON AR       48  32  46  38 /   0   0  40  80
HOT SPRINGS AR    52  31  50  40 /   0   0  20  80
LITTLE ROCK   AR  50  30  49  40 /   0   0  10  70
MONTICELLO AR     52  31  53  42 /   0   0  10  60
MOUNT IDA AR      52  31  50  41 /   0   0  30  80
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  48  31  45  36 /   0   0  30  80
NEWPORT AR        47  28  47  37 /   0   0  10  70
PINE BLUFF AR     50  31  51  40 /   0   0  10  60
RUSSELLVILLE AR   51  30  48  40 /   0   0  20  80
SEARCY AR         47  29  48  38 /   0   0  10  70
STUTTGART AR      48  30  50  40 /   0   0  10  60
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...62