Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 072247 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
447 PM CST SUN FEB 7 2016

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED TO INCLUDE THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW...

&&

.AVIATION...

A COLD FRONT IS PUSHING SE THROUGH THE STATE...WITH SW WINDS
TRANSITIONING TO THE WEST AND NW BEHIND THE FRONT. BREEZY
CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN JUST BEHIND THIS FRONT...BUT EVEN STRONGER
WINDS WILL BE SEEN FOR MON AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. SOME
MVFR CIGS COULD BE SEEN AT NRN TERMINALS...AS WELL A FEW FLURRIES.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 252 PM CST SUN FEB 7 2016/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY

THE FIRST OF TWO COLD FRONTS IS MOVING THROUGH ARKANSAS AT THIS
TIME. SOME MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT AS IT
PASSES THROUGH TONIGHT. WEST WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST TONIGHT
AND WILL BE INCREASING TOWARD MORNING AS THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM APPROACHES. THE STRONGEST PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE MID DAY
MONDAY AND WILL BRING THE STRONGEST WINDS. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO
25 MPH WILL GUST TO 35 MPH OR MORE. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR MONDAY MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON.

THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE STATE NORTH TO
SOUTH MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. WILL KEEP THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW IN THE NORTHEAST SECTIONS FOR MONDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE MUCH COOLER MONDAY AND TUESDAY...IN THE 30S AND 40S.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY

NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE EXTENDED RANGE. SEVERAL WEAK SYSTEMS WILL
MOVE THROUGH...OFFERING VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF PRECIP CHANCES DUE
TO LACK OF SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE RETURN. A FRONT AT THE END OF THE
WEEK WILL BRING A SLIGHT REINFORCING SHOT OF COOLER AIR. LOOKS LIKE
THERE MAY BE A MORE SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM AFFECT THE AREA JUST BEYOND
THE END OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     34  40  24  40 /  10  20  10   0
CAMDEN AR         37  48  29  49 /   0   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       32  37  22  38 /  10  10   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    35  45  27  46 /   0   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  35  45  27  45 /   0  10   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     38  48  28  46 /   0  10   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      34  44  27  46 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  33  38  23  38 /  10  20  10   0
NEWPORT AR        34  41  25  40 /  10  20  10   0
PINE BLUFF AR     36  46  27  45 /   0  10   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   33  44  26  45 /   0  10   0   0
SEARCY AR         33  43  25  42 /  10  10  10   0
STUTTGART AR      34  45  27  43 /  10  10  10   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM CST MONDAY FOR ARKANSAS-
BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-
DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-
POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-
WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL.

&&

$$


AVIATION...62


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