Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 271103
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
603 AM CDT SAT AUG 27 2016


.DISCUSSION... /issued 405 AM CDT SAT AUG 27 2016/

Warm and humid conditions to continue into early next week, under
a strong upper level height ridge.

For today, drier easterly midlevel flow will lower precipitable
water values to around 1.6 inches, down from 2 inches on Friday.
Where storms form, inverted-v moisture and thermal profiles suggest
some strong wind potential. Otherwise, dry with afternoon temps
around 3 degrees above normal and dewpoints in the 70s.

The upper level ridge center will gradually retrograde from the
Carolinas to the southern plains by midweek, as significant height
falls occur over the northeast United States. Weak northwest flow
aloft will prevail over the Midsouth by midweek, allowing a weak
backdoor cold frontal passage. Temperatures should cool to near
normal, accompanied by dewpoints cooling into the 60s. Not quite
autumn-like, but typical of early September.

PWB

&&

.AVIATION...

12Z TAF Set

VFR conditions will generally occur over the next 24 hours.
Although, diurnal based showers and thunderstorms will begin
popping across the CWA after 16Z. Can`t rule out one hitting one
of the four TAF sites reducing VSBYS/CIGS. For now, will just
mention VCTS wording. In addition, some patchy fog may occur early
and again during the overnight hours. Winds will generally be
light and variable through the period.

KRM

&&



&&

.MEG Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$



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