Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago

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000
FXZS60 NSTU 290111
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
211 PM SST MON JUL 28 2014

.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SATELLITE IMAGERIES SHOW AN
ACTIVE TROUGH SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTH AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW
TO THE NORTH. RAOB FROM THIS AFTERNOON DEPICTS A CONDITIONAL
UNSTABLE PROFILE WITH WINDS VEERING AT THE LOWER LEVELS. MODELS
ARE INCONSISTENT IN THE PLACEMENT OF TROUGH AXIS NEAR OR OVER THE
ISLANDS. WITH SOME PLACING THE TROUGH AXIS TO THE SOUTH...WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WITH
THE TROUGH OVER THE ISLANDS...WINDS WILL PERSIST AS STRONG TRADES.
HOWEVER...CURRENT CONDITIONS REVEAL THE TROUGH SLIGHTLY TO THE
SOUTH. THEREFORE...WILL AMEND THE FCST TO REFLECT THE CURRENT
SITUATION AND OUTLOOKS. EXPECT WET WEATHER AND VARIABLE WINDS
WITH GUSTY CONDITIONS DURING THE SHORT TERM.

.LONG TERM...
THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...ANOTHER HIGH TO THE SOUTH WILL AGAIN
STRENGTHEN TRADES ACROSS THE ISLANDS DURING THE WEEKEND AND THE
REST OF THE FCST. TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ON FRIDAY
NIGHT AND THUS DIMINISHES SHOWERS DURING THE WEEKEND. THEREFORE
WILL AMEND THE PREVIOUS FCST.

&&

.MARINE...
HAZARDOUS SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT COASTAL WATERS AND SOUTHERN
SHORES THROUGHOUT THIS WEEK. HSA AND SCA REMAINS IN EFFECT.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HSA REMAINS IN EFFECT.
SCA REMAINS IN EFFECT.

&&

$$

MALALA








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