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170
FNUS28 KWNS 262000
FWDD38

DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT MON SEP 26 2016

VALID 281200Z - 041200Z

AN UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO DROP SEWD THROUGH THE OH VALLEY ON
D3/WED AND INTO THE TN VALLEY ON D4/THU WHILE RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS
THE PLAINS. UPPER LOW OVER SRN CA ON D3/WED WILL GRADUALLY DRIFT
NEWD WHILE TRANSITIONING TO AN OPEN WAVE. ERN CONUS UPPER LOW WILL
REMAIN LARGELY IN PLACE THROUGH D5/FRI WHILE A DEEP SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVES INTO THE NRN CA/PACIFIC NW. ENHANCED SWLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE
SHORTWAVE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO GUSTY CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN
CA...NWRN NV AND SWRN ORE. THESE WINDS WILL ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO A
DEEPLY MIXED AND DRY BOUNDARY LAYER WITH RH VALUES LIKELY BELOW 20
PERCENT. A FIRE WEATHER THREAT MAY RESULT AND A 40-PERCENT
DELINEATION HAS BEEN INTRODUCED ACROSS THE REGION.

PACIFIC NW/NRN CA SHORTWAVE WILL CONTINUE NEWD THROUGH THE NRN
ROCKIES ON D6/SAT. RECENT GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO A LITTLE BETTER
AGREEMENT REGARDING THE PROGRESSION OF ANOTHER STRONG SHORTWAVE OVER
THE NRN/CNTRL W COAST LATE THIS WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK. SOME FIRE
WEATHER THREAT WOULD LIKELY RESULT IF THIS SCENARIO IS REALIZED BUT
CONFIDENCE IS CURRENTLY TOO LOW TO OUTLOOK ANY AREAS AFTER D5/FRI.

..MOSIER.. 09/26/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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