Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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000
FNUS21 KWNS 301629
FWDDY1

DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

VALID 301700Z - 311200Z

NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE ONGOING FORECAST.

..COHEN.. 07/30/2014

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0334 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014/

...SYNOPSIS...
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE UPPER-AIR PATTERN IS EXPECTED WITH A TROUGH
OVER THE EAST AND A WESTERN RIDGE EXTENDING NWD INTO THE NRN
ROCKIES.  ONE DISTURBANCE MOVING SEWD THROUGH THE CENTRAL U.S. IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN ACROSS CO/KS AND OK.  ALTHOUGH IT
WILL REMAIN WARM TO HOT OVER MOST OF THE WEST...SOME MONSOONAL
MOISTURE UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH MAINLY WETTING RAINS.

...SERN HALF OF OREGON...NERN CA...NWRN NV...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED OVER THIS AREA DURING THE
PERIOD.  THIS AREA REMAINS ON THE EDGE OF THE HIGHER MOISTURE WITH
PW VALUES REMAINING AROUND 0.75 INCH.  NAM MODEL SHOWS SOME DRYING
MAY TAKE PLACE DURING THE AFTERNOON BEFORE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE
PW OVERNIGHT.  FUELS REMAIN VERY DRY ACROSS THE AREA AND AFTERNOON
HIGHS WILL BE VERY WARM AND SURFACE HUMIDITY WILL GENERALLY BE BELOW
20 PERCENT.  EVEN THOUGH MANY OF THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
AT LEAST SOME WETTING RAINS...AS LIGHT WINDS FAVOR SLOW STORM
SPEEDS...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUPPORT AT LEAST SOME STORMS WITH VERY
LITTLE RAINFALL.  HIGH CLOUD BASES AND A DRY SUB-CLOUD LAYER
INDICATE SOME OF THE RAINFALL WILL EVAPORATE BEFORE REACHING THE
GROUND...ESPECIALLY FOR STORMS MOVING OFF HIGHER TERRAIN.  ALSO
LIGHTNING OUTSIDE THE MAIN RAIN CORES MAY PRODUCE IGNITIONS.

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...



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